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#1
10-07-2011, 07:11 AM
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10/7: Keeneland (Opening Day; 3rd-10th)
Took a sound beating at Belmont Thursday as poor decisions and jump up winners quashed virtually every attempt. The day's key price ideas -- Roses for the Star, Eternal Ruler and Scootles -- all ran decent races, but invariably fell short or were overhauled to finish 3rd, 3rd and 2nd respectively. P6 carried for another day to reach $103k, but opening card at Keeneland draws my primary attention. As if alluring scenarios at New York and Kentucky weren't enough, Santa Anita carried Thursday as well and has a $42k jackpot to start their sextet. Hope I didn't bury you too badly Thursday, and that we can score some on the challenging Keeneland opening slate to go into the big holiday weekend on the uptick!
KEENELAND PRE-SCRATCHES 3rd: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #1 Mimi's Special Six 12-1 7th Next Best: #5 Mutually Benefit 5-2 WON ($4.40) Exotics Use: #2 Niji's Grand Girl 4-1 3rd Super Add: #7 Lily Again 4-1 6th 4th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #4 Ratoath Special 6-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Nina Fever 7-5 2nd Exotics Use: #3 Golden Phoenix 6-1 6th Super Add: #7 Second Street City 5-2 WON ($8.80) 5th: ALW/N2L, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Super) Very big SCR here with #3 Bet to Win opting out.. Best Value: #2 Ready to Unleash 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #6 Banded 5-1 5th Next Best: #7 Fan Out 3-1 3rd 6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (.50 P5, P3, DD, Super) Nice cast for this including return of Animal Kingdom half bro Thursby and maddening Saratoga disappointment Seve.. Best Value: #4 Golden Ticket 10-1 3rd Next Best: #5 Optionality 4-1 5th Exotics Use: #3 Seven Lively Sins 3-1 WON ($6.00) Super Add: #9 Seve 8-1 4th 7th: ALW/C, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #4 Moryba 6-1 WON ($7.60) Next Best: #8 Yankee Fortune 7-2 4th Exotics Use: #1 Cherokee Artist 6-1 6th Super Add: #11 Timbucto 30-1 7th 8th: 159th Phoenix (G3), 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 Aikenite 5-2 2nd Best Value: #7 Cool Bullet 10-1 5th Next Best: #1 Flashpoint 8-5 4th Super Add: #4 Hoofit 15-1 WON ($25.60) 9th: 60th Alcibiades (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (DD, Super) Eye-crossing assembly of baby girls with Biofuel sister Tu Endie Wei coming in as well-heralded filly to beat. Note Bernadini daughter Venetian Sonata is a full sister of emerging Indy Derby winner Wilburn, and Arnold trainee New Wave is a half to General Quarters.. Most Likely: #4 Tu Endie Wei 6-1 7th Best Value: #7 Stephanie's Kitten 12-1 WON ($21.60) Next Best: #6 Egg Drop 8-1 10th Super Add: #1 Puttthebabiesdown 12-1 3rd 10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (Super, Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #2 Pleasant Run 4-1 3rd Best Value: #12 David D 10-1 9th Next Best: #7 Sour 7-2 4th Exotics Use: #1 Why Pretend 20-1 12th Hi-5 Play: #6 Gutsy Call 5-1 WON ($12.40) <$75 P5 Play: 6: 4-5 7: 4-8 8: 1-6-7 9: 4-7 10: 1-2-6-7-12 2x2x3x2x5 = 120 x .50 = $60 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 4-8 8: 1-6-7 9: 1-4-6-7 10: 1-2-6-7-12 2x3x4x5 = 120 x .50 = $60 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 10-07-2011 at 05:51 PM. 
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#2
10-07-2011, 11:08 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#3
10-07-2011, 11:08 AM
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Big SCR of Bet to Win out of the KEE 5th..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
10-07-2011, 12:33 PM
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If Gales is ever going to show up again, today would be the day. Texieria sucking it up in the playoffs and Eddie Kenneally wins the opener and pays $22 bucks......................
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#5
10-07-2011, 12:42 PM
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Quote:
I used the #9 in my P3 and was laughing about Gales when I put the wager in. Keeneland 1 0.50 P3 (PWHL) 8, 9, 11, 12 / 1, 8, 10 / 1, 2, 5, 7 $24.00
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#7
10-07-2011, 04:41 PM
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Didn't like Bret Calhoun's CHEERLEADER into Alcibiades, but 25-1 crazy price off her fast debut win. Sire Flashy Bull seeks 1st synth hit and has Flassy Lassie in here too.
POST SCRIPT: Came down to 13-1...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 10-07-2011 at 05:39 PM.
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#8
10-07-2011, 04:43 PM
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Quote:
__________________
Game Over
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#9
10-07-2011, 05:16 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#10
10-07-2011, 05:19 PM
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One thing to take away from the Alcibiades is continuing struggle of Flashy Bull progeny on synthetic. Flashy Lassie and Cheerleader 13th and 14th there as Flashy Bull continues 0-fer as a sire on the rubber...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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