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#1
10-21-2010, 07:30 AM
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10/21: Belmont (4th-9th): Keeneland ($33k C/O)
Danced around with some good opinions and ideas Wednesday but missed what I wantedd the most. It turned out that having Buff Bradley visit ATR was a good call, as I made his Bellaridge (10-1 ML) kind of a 'horse of the day'. The Cactus Ridge filly gave us all the anticipated big effort at 7-1, but was gathered in late by Tom Proctor's nice Holdaysatthefarm (the 2-1 fave). The paltry $34.80 exacta was a booby prize as my play was a solid win bet and tri key off Bellaridge. No complaints though, as the horse and concept were sound.
At Belmont, there wasn't anything out of the ordinary in the charts, but I missed the P4 by swinging for the fences. It turned out chalky, so there wasn't anything to regret, and a sequence of modest P3's were there to be had to fill in the blanks. Hope you did well! It was a fun day of race wagering and watching, with one revelation being the Wonder Filly 'World Gone Wrong' who won her 12th.. that's right, 12th.. race of the year for Scott Lake, Ben Mondello and Adam Russo (Team Spooky Mulder). Lake will visit ATR this morning to talk about the Proud Citizen 4yo that is now 12/15 for '10 and 25/17-3-1 in her career. Steve Margolis, Steve Haskin, Richard Eng, Tony Black and more on the big show! Another good day of racing on tap, with Belmont below now and likely a Keeeneland look later on... P6 CARRYOVERS TODAY: Keeneland $33k; Woodbine $45k.. BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) Half dozen or more here are within a length or two of each other, so you might as well go after the prices intra-race. You can always cover horses like Zubani and Elegant Bess, 3-1 and 7-2 and no better than the next 7-8, in the multis if you believe in them or want to respect their win chances.. Most Likely: #7 Bella Attrice 5-1 2nd Best Value: #10 Mesa Girl 15-1 3rd Next Best: #6 Mustang Fever 6-1 WON ($24.00) Super Add: #4 Knockinelder 15-1 5th $1 Exacta (6-7) Paid $56.50 $1 Trifecta (6-7-10) Paid $350.00 5th: S/ALW, 3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 STRONG IMPACT 6-1 5th Next Best: #2 Don't Fooli Houli 7-2 4th Exotics Use: #9 Spanish Fortune 4-1 2nd Super Add: #1 Slick Wheelie 6-1 3rd 6th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Song of Broadway most likely wins, but she's not much horse and can certainly be bet against with zesto.. Most Likely: #1 Song of Broadway 3-5 WON ($2.80) Best Value: #5 Crystal Galopoff 15-1 5th Next Best: #2 Eliza Grace 7-2 2nd Super Add: #7 Above the Call 5-1 3rd 7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD, Super) Don't see where Lemon Spice or Laureate Conductor are all that much better than the next set of contenders, and especially consistant Lime Rickey who may relish an extra 110 yards and will be saving ground. Today may be the right day to key off him. Someone should have contacted Sunkist or the Florida Citrus Council about naming this race with Lime Rickey, Lemon Spice and Lemon Cream Pie signed on.. Best Value: #1 Lime Rickey 10-1 8th Next Best: #4 Laureate Conductor 5-2 WON ($6.50) Exotics Use: #8 Pleasant Strike 5-1 6th Super Add: #7 Lemon Cream Pie 4-1 4th .10 SUPER PLAY: Key 1 with 3-4-7-8 with 3-4-7-8 with ALL (1x4x3x5 = 60 x .10 = $6.00) 8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (DD, Super) 2-1 makes Hittin the Note a bad favorite in this very quirky ALW.. Most Likely: #2 Fortitude 3-1 6th Best Value: #9 One Turn Eddie 8-1 3rd Next Best: #5 Inherit the Gold 7-2 WON ($7.80) Super Add: #1 Hittin the Note 2-1 5th 9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super) Most Likely: #2 Cat Be Nimble 7-2 WON ($7.30) Next Best: #7 T Rae 9-2 5th Best Value: #5 Dixie Kid 6-1 6th Super Add: #6 Playful Majesty 30-1 2nd .10 SUPER PLAY: 2-7 with 2-5-7 with 2-5-6-7-8-10 with ALL (2x2x4x7 = 112 x .10 = $11.20) $1 Exacta (2-6) Paid $151.25 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 1-2-5 7: 1-4 8: 1-2-5-9 9: 2-5-7 3x2x4x3 = $72 $1 Pick 4 (1/4/5/2) Paid $95.75 KEENELAND POST-SCRATCHES 4th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Attempted Humor 3-1 WON ($5.00) Best Value: #4 Doublefour 12-1 5th Next Best: #3 Lucky Momento 4-1 2nd Super Add: #10 Tripp O Steel 4-1 9th 5th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Perfect Prospector 4-1 8th Best Value: #8 Windswept 15-1 7th Next Best: #9 Rampaige 7-2 WON ($6.20) Super Add: #6 Street Flyer 30-1 3rd 6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #9 Manhattan Fox 3-1 2nd Next Best: #8 Hurricane Day 4-1 4th Best Value: #6 Northern Giant 6-1 WON ($7.80) Super Add: #7 Snake River Canyon 6-1 7th 7th: CLM, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #10 Sweet N Sour Nina 3-1 WON ($4.00) Best Value: #2 Ambitioness 20-1 2nd Next Best: #9 Moneigh 5-1 8th Super Add: #6 Cactus Cadillac 12-1 7th 8th: 16th Sycamore (G3), 3+, 12f-T (DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Musketeer 5-1 3rd Next Best: #5 Brass Hat 5-1 WON ($11.60) Best Value: #11 Tajaweed 20-1 4th Super Add: #1 Southern Anthem 50-1 2nd $1 Exacta (5-1) Paid $233.10 $1 Trifecta (5-1-7) Paid $801.70 $1 Superfecta (5-1-7-11) Paid $6,912.50 9th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5) Tough to call anyone in this 'Most Likely'.. Most Likely: #11 Perfect Brother 8-1 10th Next Best: #8 Grand Silver 5-1 5th Best Value: #6 Just Blitz 20-1 11th Exotics Use: #7 Zealous Yankee 5-1 WON ($11.00) Hi-5 Play: #10 Irish Paul 4-1 12th <$200 P6 Play: 4: 4-5 5: 4 6: 8-9 7: 2-9-10 8: 5-7 9: 6-7-8-11 2x1x2x3x2x4 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 8-9 7: 2-9-10 8: 1-5-7-11 9: 6-7-8-10-11-12 2x3x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 10-21-2010 at 04:45 PM. 
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#2
10-21-2010, 07:47 AM
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Will definitely climb aboard with you on Lime Rickey in the 7th. His trip two back at Saratoga was more brutal than it looks on paper. Not sure what happened last time but he certainly should run better today and get in the exacta. Hope we get 10-1.
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A racehorse is an animal that can take several thousand people for a ride at the same time. ~Author Unknown Last edited by Kasept : 10-21-2010 at 12:02 PM.
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#3
10-21-2010, 11:07 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
10-21-2010, 12:01 PM
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Am I missing something? Why on earth is Enchanted Circle 1/2 in the KEE opener?
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#5
10-21-2010, 02:21 PM
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Belmont 6th
Gonna try this .10 super 1/2,4,5,7/2,4,5,7/2,3,4,5,6,7,8 Bet $11.20
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#6
10-21-2010, 03:02 PM
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Quote:
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#7
10-21-2010, 03:15 PM
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Lime Rickey manages to find another new way to lose...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#8
10-21-2010, 03:26 PM
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Of course I play the pick 3 in race 7 with your pick 4 selections and the favorite passes the money horse. Sometimes I feel like throwing my monitor out the ******* window.
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#10
10-21-2010, 04:13 PM
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Quote:
__________________
Good Luck......and may a Derby Trailer lead the way to the window! Ed
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#14
10-21-2010, 06:10 PM
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Awesome job
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#15
10-21-2010, 06:12 PM
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noice
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#16
10-21-2010, 06:40 PM
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Thanks very much all.. Was a really fun day. Hope many capitalized!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#18
10-22-2010, 05:15 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#19
10-22-2010, 05:39 AM
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Good job Steve!
I loved Billy's horse from hearing him on ATR at the Spa. telling everyone how much of a bad ride she had that day.
__________________
If you are not going to lead get out of the way!
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