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Old 08-28-2006, 01:44 PM
SCUDSBROTHER's Avatar
SCUDSBROTHER SCUDSBROTHER is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: L.A.
Posts: 11,326
Default Make your prediction

O.K........I made a bet 2 days before the Allstar break.I bet the HALOS (at 6-1) to win their division.I knew 2 things going in:

1)The Halos had an easier July Schedule than the A's.


2)The Halos had a much,much,much more difficult August schedule than the A's.

Well,predictably,the Halos caught the A's,and took a 1/2 game lead on the morning of July 29th.Unfortunately,Halo reliever Scot Shields "had a bad patch," and caused the Halos to lose to Boston on July 29th,and caused the Halos to lose the deciding 3rd game of a 3 game series against the A's on August 2nd.When Lackey had a bad outing on Friday the 4th of August,I new I had to cover this bet(one of the main reasons I made the bet was because Lackey was dominant in early July.)The Halo middle relief simply can't handle the load when starters flounder.So,I covered the bet,and that means I will lose nothing(no matter who wins the division.)I will only make money($1800) if the Halos win the division.This is the deal jockeys have.They don't lose money if they lose,but they make money if they win.So,that was when the Halos were 3 games back,and even after a very tough August schedule of playing the Red Sox,Yankees etc.in August,the Halos are within 5 1/2 games.This(believe it or not)is where I had thought they would be.There was no way they(HALOS) couldn't lose ground when the A's played Tampa,Seattle,K.C.,and Toronto in August.I had hoped the Halos would build a better cushion in July,and early August.They didn't(because of mainly Shields n' Lackey........I have mentioned how they cost me 3 games in late July-early August.)Anyways,the Hell Month is ending,and the Halos play just 6 games against the playoff contenders in the other 2 divisions from here on out.The A's must play 9 games against those teams.Also,the A's have to play Cleveland 4 times(something I wouldn't want to do right now.)Then the A's and Halos play each other 7 out of their last 10 games(the last 4 in Anaheim.)I want to wake up the morning of Thursady the 29th September,and see the A's leading by 4, or less.Why? That will mean they have to beat us atleast 1 game in late September/early October.I want to make them have do that.Cut it to 4 by September 29th.That's all I ask.Give me a % chance that you think the Halos have of winning the division.I will start.I give it a 20% chance.Most will give it a 0% chance.Go ahead and document your opinion.
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