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#1
03-19-2010, 07:22 AM
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3/19: Santa Anita ($74k C/O)
With all six winners somewhere in selections, made a sincere run at Wednesday's Santa Anita carryover stringing 2nd-5th legs together successfully on the play. But winners of the bookend 1st and 6th legs were at the bottom of the tabs and off the play, as Gutierrez nightcap price frustratingly denied even a conso hit or P4 score (live to 3 horses paying $150-$350).
It was one of those sequences where even with an obvious single in Canonize ($3.60 as 4-5 fave), the 2 second choice ($8.00, $10.00) and 2 third choice ($8.80, $9.40) winners combined with the 5th choice upsetter ($17.60) to make negotiating the sextet challenging. But the challenge was rewarded with $42,475 returns. Hope you did OK! Another P6 carryover today though ($74,550), and this one also seems approachable. SANTA ANITA PRE-SCRATCHES 3rd: CLM, 4+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Pleasure to Ride 3-1 WON Next Best: #7 Squallcreek 5-2 5th Best Value: #6 Zappa 6-1 7th Super Add: ##1 Fire Break 8-1 3rd 4th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super Most Likely: #7 Blackman Bay 5-2 WON Next Best: #1 Country Impact 3-1 2nd Best Value: #4 Michaels Jila 8-1 4th Super Add: #2 Afleet Cowboy 7-2 3rd 5th: OC/N2X, 4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 Gothic Samurai 7-2 4th Best Value: #6 On the Virg 6-1 5th Next Best: #2 Enriched 7-2 WON Super Add: #5 Hyades 5-2 3rd 6th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #3 Peacock Alliance 4-1 6th Next Best: #4 Buyer's Remorse 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #7 Ishmael 3-1 3rd Super Add: #5 Joyful Success 5-2 5th 7th: OC/N3X, 4+, 6.5f-T (DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Mr Gruff 5-2 WON Best Value: #1 Papa Bear 15-1 6th Next Best: #7 Kelly Leak 3-1 3rd Super Add: #6 Tres Borrachos 6-1 4th 8th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 5.5f (Super, Super High 5) Most Likely: #7 Lady Adele 7-5 6th Best Value: #6 Youvegotthatright 12-1 8th Next Best: #1 Pay to Play 3-1 WON Super Add: #9 Mary's Dancer 5-1 5th High 5 Play: #4 Sweet and Jazzy 6-1 4th <$200 P6 Plays: 3: 5-7 4: 1-7 5: 2-5-6-8 6: 3-4 7: 2 8: 1-6-7 2x2x4x2x1x3 = 96 x $2 = $192 5 Correct Paid 86.40 x 2 = $172.40 <$75 P4 Play: 5: 2-5-6-8 6: 3-4-7 7: 1-2 8: 1-6-7 4x3x2x3 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 03-19-2010 at 07:06 PM. 
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#2
03-19-2010, 08:02 AM
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Steve,
Since you had all of the winners somewhere in your selections, do you think TicketMaker would have produced a $40k winning combination? I think you briefly alluded to TicketMaker on ATR after the first leg of the P6.
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#4
03-19-2010, 08:53 AM
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Quote:
Very well might have. Problem was, at least for me, taking Legal Blonde out of the play in favor of Sh Sh Shakin. Keeping Legal Blonde an "A" or even a "B" means that there is a chance the Gutierrez nightcap winner might show up on a successful backup play. But as TitanSooner's winning play in the $2k contest showed, you needed to be very well covered in several spots besides the 3rd and 8th to win this thing. The 6th, with Lucky Primo, Norvey, Tamarack Smarty, et al, was treacherous, as was the 4th with Van Brit, Sleep Tight, Victoria Reel, etc. When you look at it afterwards, you think to yourself, "There was only the one tough horse (8th) to have for $42k", but it was a slippery sequence...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
03-19-2010, 08:53 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#6
03-19-2010, 01:04 PM
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LATE SCRATCHES AND CHANGES FOR FRIDAY, MARCH 19TH, 2010
Race 1: No Changes Race 2: No Changes Race 3: No Changes Race 4: Scratch #8 Ned Page; #6 +3 Overweight Race 5: #7 +1 Overweight Race 6: #2 +2 Overweight Race 7: No Changes Race 8: Scratch #3 Great Bernardine
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
03-19-2010, 05:07 PM
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Fat 11-1 on On the Virg here...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#8
03-19-2010, 06:43 PM
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Well.. None of us really needed that $5k, did we? Yeesh...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#10
03-19-2010, 06:59 PM
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Jesus Steve, you were all over it. Great Job!
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#12
03-20-2010, 04:54 AM
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Tom, Matt, Larry,
Thanks. Midstretch of the 6th it looked like I was in great shape, and then the complexion changed in two jumps. That winner was a horse I really needed to have seen given he was progressing and dropping. Very frustrating outcome. Big day ahead though with P4 & C/O at AQU, Magna 5 and superb card at GP. Good luck today!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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