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Old 08-10-2009, 05:05 AM
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Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,874
Default 8/10: Saratoga (Day 12/$58k C/O)

Weekend closed with a humdrum kind of Sunday at the Old Spa, but it was puncuated by impressive performances from Giralomo, Bribon, Elusive Heat, Game Face and the lovable Fabulous Strike. After a high energy crowd of 40,000 Saturday, yesterday was buzz-less and a bit deflated.

Big hits were not forthcoming, but did OK trading dollars for the most part with $65 early P4 ($48 play), a handful of chaky P3's, the Finney turf stake ($95) and Vandy ($50) triples. Prices in the 8th and 11th triggered a $58k+ carryover for Monday which closes out the first third of the meet. Rain overnight with more possible later, likely impacts grass course decisions. Hope you did OK Sunday and this weekend.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

If this impossible set stays on turf, don't be afraid to reach for the prices. Virtually all can win this..

Most Likely: #1e Donk entry 5-1
Best Value: #2 Higher Incentive 6-1
Next Best: #6 Soave 4-1
Exotics Use: #8 Speed Dating 7-2


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Proud Zoe 9-5 WON
Next Best: #4 Afleet Maggi 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Quiet Temper 12-1 2nd


3rd: Albert the Great, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Barrier Reef 2-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Le Grand Cru 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1e Zito entry 9-5 (Cool Coal Man preferred) WON


4th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

If remaining on lawn, this has potential to be immediate P6 play backbreaker. Favorite (#11) is poorly posted and comes in off a year's layoff, and virtually all are capable of winning on their best and with right trip..

Best Value: #3 Maccarib Pass 10-1 5th
Most Likely: #11 Gravitational 5-2 4th
Next Best: #1 (POE) William T 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 (POE) Riptide 9-2 WON


5th: Waya (R), F&M-4+, 12f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Jazz Jam 6-1 5th
Most Likely: #5 Communique 2-1 4th
Next Best: #4 LATE SCR
Super Add: #7 Borrowing Base 5-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

Check for changes with off the turf adjustments very possible..

2: 1-4
3: 1-2-6
4: 1-2-3-11
5: 1-4-5

2x3x4x3 = $72


6th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Brutally tough turf sprint..

Best Value: #5 Dr Paula Moynihan 10-1 6th
Most Likely: #3 Serela's Song 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Gentle Ride 6-1 WON
Super Add: #8 Barbie Girl 7-2 4th


7th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Awe So Beautiful 5-1 3rd
Most Likely: #10 Imandra 3-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Concorde's Dance 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Amelia the Cat 8-1 6th


8th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (DD, Super)

First class state bred main track route.. Terrific betting race

Most Likely: #8 Rereadthefootnotes 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Mr. Bourbon Street 15-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Multidude 4-1 WON
Exotics Use: #7 Overextended 10-1 2nd


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (Super)

Best Value: #5 Smart Tomcat 6-1 6th
Most Likely: #1 Lofty Banner 15-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Weekend Pass 8-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Coaltown Legend 20-1 5th


$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-3-11
5: 1
6: 3-5
7: 8-10
8: 6-7-8-9
9: 1-5

3x1x2x2x4x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-5-11
7: 2-8-10
8: 6-7-8-9
9: 1-5

3x3x4x2 = $72

$2 Pick 4 (11/13-10-9-1) Paid $1,059


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-10-2009 at 05:47 PM.
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