8/6: Saratoga (Day 8/Morrissey)

[Kasept]

Early bombs and chalk the rest of the way produced a generally unsatisfying afternoon at the windows Wednesday with break-even late P4 and a couple of modest win and exotics mutuels. No time to comment extensively except to say the P6 was eminently hittable and my inability to lay out the multi-ticket approach thanks to time pressures cost you the very nice $2,367 payout. Hope you did OK... Good action today!


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: A. P. Smithwick (Gr. II), 4+, 16.5f-Hurdles (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Slip Away 5-2
Best Value: #7 Mixed Up 5-1
Next Best: #4 Preemptive Strike 5-1
Super Add: #1 Planets Aligned 7-2


2nd: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Raffie's Rose 8-1
Most Likely: #1 (POE) Amiga Del Sol 2-1
Next Best: #7 Our Lady Liberty 12-1


3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Past the Point 2-1
Best Value: #2 Garifine 12-1
Next Best: #1 Spin Master 5-1
Super Add: #6 Cave's Valley 3-1


4th: CLM, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Awesome Mich 12-1
Most Likely: #7 Pluto 3-1
Next Best: #6 Vindicat 6-1
Super Add: #10 Moving Violation 12-1

.10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 1-7 with 1-4-6-7-8-10 with 1-4-6-7-8-10 with 1-4-6-7-8-10 (2x5x4x3 = 120 x .10 = $12.00)


5th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Jung Man Scot 9-5
Best Value: #1 (POE) Wana Play 12-1
Next Best: #3e Serpe entry 6-1
Exotics Use: #9 Blue Horseshoe 6-1


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-9
3: 1-2-7
4: 1-6-7-10
5: 1-3-5

2x3x4x3 = $72


6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Pletcher AE-12 Ruff and Ready a major player if drawing in...

Best Value: #9 Big Jerome 10-1
Most Likely: #10 Skagerrak 6-1
Next Best: #8 Big Stick 5-1
Super Add: #5 Gaelic Storm 10-1


7th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Very difficult turf route for juvies.. Confusing bunch..

Most Likely: #8 Petecarol 4-1
Best Value: #4e Ramsey entry 12-1
Next Best: #5 Novel Notion 3-1
Exotics Use: #1 (POE) Straight Talk 10-1


8th: John Morrissey-NYB, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Driven by Success 1-1
Best Value: #4 Ferocious Fires 5-1
Next Best: #5 Premium Wine 4-1
Super Add: #7 Law Enforcement 6-1


9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Lyke a Hurricane 8-1
Most Likely: #8 Separatist 3-1
Next Best: #4 Double Domino 6-1
Super Add: #9 Paul's Ace 8-1


10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #3 Live on the Edge 5-2
Best Value: #5 Big Flirt 10-1
Next Best: #10 Cullinan 7-2
Super Add: #4 Mendelssohn 9-2


<$75 P4 Play:

High wire act.. A nearly impossible sequence..

7: 1-3-4-5-8-10
8: 1-4
9: 4-7-8
10: 3-5

6x2x3x2 = $72


Good luck!
Steve