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  #1  
Old 05-18-2009, 05:35 PM
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Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
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Default This talk about RA being better than...

Just listening to ATR with DrugS and that first caller.

Comparing RA to SBD or R2R is one thing, but GFW and Ruffian? That seems very premature at this point.

I'm pretty confident that the trio of Inside Information, Sardula and Lakeway, when they were right, were better.

I don't see it as a stretch saying that RA is better than SBD, but Doug's assessment that she's better than Rags at distances up to 1 1/4 miles seems pretty dodgy.

One thing people don't take into account is that Rags was making only her sixth start when she won the Belmont, with that being her fourth straight grade one win.

Rachel Alexandra, on the other hand, had six starts just as a two year old. She had far more seasoning by this point in their respective careers and until Saturday was facing far less talented fields of runners than Rags had been.

I'd also like to point out that Rags maiden win going 7f at SA (dirt) was spectacular. I would say RA would have a tactical advantage in a 7-8f race but by no means would she be a lock.

I think had Rags not gotten hurt (or Pletchers barn gone south?) her career would have been something truly special.
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Old 05-18-2009, 05:39 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie
Just listening to ATR with DrugS and that first caller.

Comparing RA to SBD or R2R is one thing, but GFW and Ruffian? That seems very premature at this point.

I'm pretty confident that the trio of Inside Information, Sardula and Lakeway, when they were right, were better.

I don't see it as a stretch saying that RA is better than SBD, but Doug's assessment that she's better than Rags at distances up to 1 1/4 miles seems pretty dodgy.

One thing people don't take into account is that Rags was making only her sixth start when she won the Belmont, with that being her fourth straight grade one win.

Rachel Alexandra, on the other hand, had six starts just as a two year old. She had far more seasoning by this point in their respective careers and until Saturday was facing far less talented fields of runners than Rags had been.

I'd also like to point out that Rags maiden win going 7f at SA (dirt) was spectacular. I would say RA would have a tactical advantage in a 7-8f race but by no means would she be a lock.

I think had Rags not gotten hurt (or Pletchers barn gone south?) her career would have been something truly special.
quite a possibility. sadly, we'll never know.
i think comparing to go for wand or ruffian would be premature. to horses such as personal ensign and genuine risk as well. BUT, it remains to be seen. we know what those horses did, of course rachel is still a work in progress. she's generating lots of excitement, moreso it seems in the press than rags did....the attempt to keep her out of the preakness only produced that much more interest in the race. there is no such thing as bad p.r.

as for facing more talent til saturday, that may be the case. but i thought rachel ran an outstanding race in md. that at least puts her on par with rags at this point, if not slightly ahead.
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  #3  
Old 05-18-2009, 05:40 PM
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Yes and if Jordan wouldn't have retired the first time he would've won 12 championships.
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Old 05-18-2009, 05:41 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Yes and if Jordan wouldn't have retired the first time he would've won 12 championships.

Irrelevant.
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  #5  
Old 05-18-2009, 05:46 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie
Irrelevant.
Hey it's relevant because it doesn't mean jack and s.hit other than what if and woulda, coulda, shoulda.
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  #6  
Old 05-18-2009, 05:56 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Hey it's relevant because it doesn't mean jack and s.hit other than what if and woulda, coulda, shoulda.
Taking that approach towards anything having to do with racing would make any and all talk pointless. And yeah, I know there is no way to accurately compare horses that ran in different years but that's the a big part of why people post on boards like these. It's fun.
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  #7  
Old 05-18-2009, 06:07 PM
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I/C,

To this point in their careers, Rachel Alexandra is very comparable to Go for Wand.
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  #8  
Old 05-18-2009, 05:47 PM
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Yeah, I made a point to say that Ruffian, Genuine Risk, and GFW were all before my time and I couldn't compare them with RA. I think Kaspet pretty much agreed with me.

But hey, I also made a point to say that Mine That Bird and Musket Man both share a May 10th birthday and that Pioneer of the Nile (May 5th) was the oldest runner to hit the board in the Derby. I'm big on horsey birthdays don't ya know.

Rachel Alexandra certainly would have defeated R2R at 9fs and very likely would have at 10fs in a fairly run race. At 12 furlongs .. you have an aggressive speedy MDO out of a Roar mare against an Ap Indy out of Demoiselle winning and Belmont Stakes producing mare who had good tactical speed and was an excellent finisher ... I'd take R2R at that distance.
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Old 05-18-2009, 05:53 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Rachel Alexandra certainly would have defeated R2R at 9fs and very likely would have at 10fs in a fairly run race. At 12 furlongs .. you have an aggressive speedy MDO out of a Roar mare against an Ap Indy out of Demoiselle winning and Belmont Stakes producing mare who had good tactical speed and was an excellent finisher ... I'd take R2R at that distance.
That's just all plain nuts, and you know it.

In a fairly run race at 9f (you say 10) Rags probably wins more often than not. In a typical paceless 9f race, yeah, RA would have a big edge.

Going 10 or longer, RA would have to have everything go her way. Rags certainly would have beaten her in the Preakness Saturday.
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Old 05-18-2009, 06:05 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie
That's just all plain nuts, and you know it.
I loved Rags To Riches chances in the Belmont .. I said right after her Oaks win that running her in the Belmont was the prudent spot .. I thought that way because I projected improvement off of her very good form at commonly run distances.

However, her career form at commonly run distances wasn't as good as RA's form.

I would not only take RA over R2R at 9fs but also SBD over her at 9fs.
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Old 05-18-2009, 06:52 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I loved Rags To Riches chances in the Belmont .. I said right after her Oaks win that running her in the Belmont was the prudent spot ..
Whoppdee ding dong. I told you she was an immortal lock to win the oaks after she broke her maiden. What does that get us?

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
However, her career form at commonly run distances wasn't as good as RA's form.
What do you base that on? Figs?

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I would not only take RA over R2R at 9fs but also SBD over her at 9fs.
That's ridiculous.
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  #12  
Old 05-18-2009, 06:05 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie
That's just all plain nuts, and you know it.

In a fairly run race at 9f (you say 10) Rags probably wins more often than not. In a typical paceless 9f race, yeah, RA would have a big edge.

Going 10 or longer, RA would have to have everything go her way. Rags certainly would have beaten her in the Preakness Saturday.
Very much disagree. There wasn't many beating her on Saturday, or the previous Friday's Oaks, either.

I think Drugs is spot on with his analysis of R2R vs. RA re: distances.
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Old 05-18-2009, 06:54 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
Very much disagree. There wasn't many beating her on Saturday, or the previous Friday's Oaks, either.

I think Drugs is spot on with his analysis of R2R vs. RA re: distances.
There weren't many that were going to beat her? MTB and MM, both pretty ordinary horses in the grand scheme of things, got pretty close to her. That race shape would have set up perfectly for R2R.
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Old 05-19-2009, 09:53 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie
That's just all plain nuts, and you know it.

In a fairly run race at 9f (you say 10) Rags probably wins more often than not. In a typical paceless 9f race, yeah, RA would have a big edge.

Going 10 or longer, RA would have to have everything go her way. Rags certainly would have beaten her in the Preakness Saturday.
I completely disagree.
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  #15  
Old 05-18-2009, 08:24 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie

One thing people don't take into account is that Rags was making only her sixth start when she won the Belmont, with that being her fourth straight grade one win.
Yes and that scorching pace in that Belmont
that Rags had to keep up with is not something
most people would look back on as some sort of
defining race.

1:15 and a half at 6f...hell of a walking battle.
The stretch was interesting beating a tired Curlin.
Thats about it.
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Old 05-18-2009, 11:55 PM
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Go for Wand won the 7f Test in 1:21, which equalled Very Subtle's stakes record.

She came back nine days later and won the 10f Alabama in 2:00 4/5, setting a stakes record. To put it in perspective, the record for the Travers is 2:00 and her time has only been bettered twice in Travers history, by General Assembly (2:00) and Honest Pleasure (2:00 1/5) and equalled (Easy Goer and Thunder Rumble). Again, she did that nine days after that Test win.

She came back to beat older in the Maskette Mile then came back to win the Beldame in a stakes record 1:45 4/5, only 2/5 off of Secretariat's track record. Keep in mind this was a 3yo filly doing that.

Though she broke down in the BC Distaff (I thought she was going to win but we'll never know), let's not forget how good that horse was she was running nose and nose with. Bayakoa was a 12-time grade one winner (along with three grade two wins). She won grade ones in NY, California, Arkansas, Kentucky, and Florida. She was as good a filly as you'd want to see and was the defending Distaff and Eclipse winner.

Rachel is good. She's special. She could do things to surpass Go for Wand. But she's got a long way to go for that and I doubt she ever will. There's good and then there's great. Then there's the true superstars. Go for Wand is at that highest level to me.
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  #17  
Old 05-19-2009, 02:34 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
Go for Wand won the 7f Test in 1:21, which equalled Very Subtle's stakes record.

She came back nine days later and won the 10f Alabama in 2:00 4/5, setting a stakes record. To put it in perspective, the record for the Travers is 2:00 and her time has only been bettered twice in Travers history, by General Assembly (2:00) and Honest Pleasure (2:00 1/5) and equalled (Easy Goer and Thunder Rumble). Again, she did that nine days after that Test win.

She came back to beat older in the Maskette Mile then came back to win the Beldame in a stakes record 1:45 4/5, only 2/5 off of Secretariat's track record. Keep in mind this was a 3yo filly doing that.

Though she broke down in the BC Distaff (I thought she was going to win but we'll never know), let's not forget how good that horse was she was running nose and nose with. Bayakoa was a 12-time grade one winner (along with three grade two wins). She won grade ones in NY, California, Arkansas, Kentucky, and Florida. She was as good a filly as you'd want to see and was the defending Distaff and Eclipse winner.

Rachel is good. She's special. She could do things to surpass Go for Wand. But she's got a long way to go for that and I doubt she ever will. There's good and then there's great. Then there's the true superstars. Go for Wand is at that highest level to me.
I agree with everything you say, but I think your points are exactly why Byk made the point of comparing the two only up to this point in their careers.

That didn't hold water for me anyways, as I thought GFW was a much more accomplished two year old and probably lost the Oaks due to the awful track condition.
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  #18  
Old 05-19-2009, 09:37 AM
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There's something unsettling about starting to compare Rachael to Ruffian and Go For Wand when you think about what happened with those.....let's get her safely through the year before we do that.
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Old 05-19-2009, 10:42 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie
I agree with everything you say, but I think your points are exactly why Byk made the point of comparing the two only up to this point in their careers.

That didn't hold water for me anyways, as I thought GFW was a much more accomplished two year old and probably lost the Oaks due to the awful track condition.
Yeah.. exactly.

But while track conditions are viable as explanations for beats, they aren't a free pass. Round Table is my favorite horse of history, and he was continually vulnerable in wet conditions. If he hadn't been, he'd be one of the Top 8-10 horses of all time instead of one the Top 15-20.

Go for Wand did do more as a two year old than Rachel Alexandra, but Rachel Alexandra has made up the difference with this dominating series of performances.
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  #20  
Old 05-19-2009, 10:52 AM
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I believe Go For Wand ran numbers in the summer and fall of her 3yo season that RA will have a very difficult time reaching. At least from a Beyer fig standpoint.

With the way the sheets scales - TG especially - tend to trend faster and faster every year ... I'm sure they have Rachel Alexandra about 12 lengths faster than Go For Wand right now.
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