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Old 04-12-2009, 08:30 AM
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Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,697
Default 4/12: Santa Anita (P6 C/O)

Got early score with $400 tri in the Shakertown and slowly leaked money the rest of the way Saturday. Capuano's Hero's Reward ($12.60), whom I stressed Friday on ATR, came through in a 'three noses on the wire' finish with exotics use Cannonball (8.60-1) and next best tab Chamberlain Bridge (5-1).

Trombetta made the right choice for Eternal Star as that one annexed the deep Commonwealth. He had considered the tougher Gr. I Carter for his consistent 5yo bay by Five Star Day. Rebellion and My Pal Charlie rounded out the top three for the available triple of $71+. F&M Turf Champ Forever Together came out for her 2009 debut and handled the nice Jenny Wiley bunch with aplomb for Jonathon Sheppard and George Strawbridge. The always solid Sheppard has come out firing at Keeneland with 3 stakes wins in the first week.

Came into the Blue Grass live to Charitable Man and Cliffy's Future in the P4, and was laughably trounced from top to bottom when results produced a top four that was as plausible as any... They just weren't any of the ones I was trying. Sadly, the Blue Grass, once as important a spring sophomore event as there could be, has become a silly exercise that is useless as an anticipatory model for Derby performance. That doesn't mean it isn't still fun and a good betting opportunity...

Hope you did OK Saturday. Carryover at Santa Anita looks tough but worth a delve.


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Tiz Salsa 2-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Justalittletipsy 9-5 2nd
Consider: #7 Xtraordinary 5-2 5th
Super Add: #2 Saint's Crown 3-1 WON


5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Wondrous Event 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Recess 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Sunny Peace 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Wood Art 7-2 8th


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Very interesting MSW fillies with some hot-working first and second time starters from big outfits..

Most Likely: #3 First Grade 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Guided Wave 12-1 8th
Next Best: #4 She's Borracho 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Ride Me Fast 5-1 WON


7th: 35th Las Cienagas (Gr. II), F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Terrific version of this stake 'down the hill'..

Most Likely: #3 Tuscan Evening 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Macadamia 15-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Dawn After Dawn 7-2 4th
Super Add: #4 Reba Is Tops 6-1 2nd


8th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Witty 3-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Music Magic 7-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Cosmic Queen 12-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Lady Lumberjack 6-1 2nd


9th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #4 RENEGADE STORM 3-1 WON
Best Value: #10 Dollar Mountain 5-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Hidden Trail 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Holladay Road 5-1 3rd
High 5 Play: #2 Domestic Brew 12-1 5th

$1 Exacta (4-1) Paid $15.50
$1 Trifecta (4-1-3) Paid $52.10
$1 Super High Five (4-1-3-10-2) Paid $971.20



<$200 P6 Play:

4: 4-5
5: 1-5-8
6: 3-4-5-8
7: 3-9
8: 1-2
9: 4

2x3x4x2x2x1 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-4-5-8
7: ALL
8: 1-2
9: 4

4x8x2x1 = $64 $1 P4 (8/7/1/4,9) Paid $293.50


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 04-12-2009 at 07:09 PM.
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