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  #1  
Old 11-18-2008, 06:05 PM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
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Default Swift Strike

Lugged in, hitting the rail, just before the wire, losing his action, and 2nd, in the process. Yet, to that point, he was getting a perfect trip, in terms of ground covered, and, after some thought, in terms of race dynamics. He would never have beaten the winner, who last moved the field, but early laggers would've finished 1-2. Another example of trouble (potentially) obscuring interpretation.
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Old 11-18-2008, 06:14 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
Lugged in, hitting the rail, just before the wire, losing his action, and 2nd, in the process. Yet, to that point, he was getting a perfect trip, in terms of ground covered. In terms of race dynamics, his trip was terrible, and he would never have beaten the winner under those circumstances. These situations come up frequently on the turf and one would think a pattern would emerge eventually.

But the winner came from last.
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Old 11-18-2008, 06:16 PM
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See the edited version.
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Old 11-18-2008, 06:27 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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I picked him second.

I didn't much care about his supposed trouble either way. I thought he got a semi-rushed ride by a rider with very poor timing last time and now switches to Dominguez.

He can't beat the mighty Riptide.
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Old 11-18-2008, 06:31 PM
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Did you like Senor Enrico back off that race? (Allowing for the off the turf, of course)
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  #6  
Old 11-18-2008, 06:35 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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I bet him last time because he was the only horse in the race, save the favorite, with decent races in true dirt races ( not off the turf races ) and I felt the favorite could be compromised on the front end. If you didn't hit the mute you would have heard me say all that.
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Old 11-18-2008, 06:41 PM
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I've been busy with work and not following the races as closely as I'd want lately (and I didn't know that he'd won, or that it was off the turf, until a few minutes ago when I watched the replay). And, while I have just about everyone on this site on ignore, I certainly wouldn't mute you out. Look at the chart of that last turf race and see if you agree that SE's trip stands out.
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  #8  
Old 11-19-2008, 01:45 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Nice call.
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Old 11-19-2008, 02:25 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
Lugged in, hitting the rail, just before the wire, losing his action, and 2nd, in the process. Yet, to that point, he was getting a perfect trip, in terms of ground covered, and, after some thought, in terms of race dynamics. He would never have beaten the winner, who last moved the field, but early laggers would've finished 1-2. Another example of trouble (potentially) obscuring interpretation.
Wish I saw this earlier. Good work.
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  #10  
Old 11-19-2008, 04:47 PM
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Interesting situation: HOL R5.

Cajun Gent is presently the chalk, 3:2
With Star Time and the 1ster, Full On, 4:1

Star Time got that idiotic move-too-soon trip by Talamo last out and was run down for 2nd by Cajun Gent. Today, they cut back 1/2F, which should IDIOT PROOF the race a bit for PREMATURE JOE T, and Gomez gets off Cajun Gent for the 1ster.
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  #11  
Old 11-21-2008, 05:02 PM
sumitas sumitas is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
I've been busy with work and not following the races as closely as I'd want lately (and I didn't know that he'd won, or that it was off the turf, until a few minutes ago when I watched the replay). And, while I have just about everyone on this site on ignore, I certainly wouldn't mute you out. Look at the chart of that last turf race and see if you agree that SE's trip stands out.
almost the whole site , huh ? I know whatja mean, hahr.
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