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Old 10-23-2008, 06:47 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 10/24: Breeders' Cup Selections (Friday)

25th BREEDERS' CUP -- OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA



3rd: BC Filly & Mare Sprint, F&M-3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Even with anticipated scratch of Indyanne, the pace of this affair appears hotter than a typical seven-eighths event. Stalkers/Closers should have the set up they look for. While Indian Blessing is surely the horse to beat after brilliant managed campaign, Ventura and Zaftig are coming up to this on pitch and should make this one of the weekend's most exciting races.

Best Value: #12 Ventura 5-1: Handled like '00 Sprint runner-up Honest Lady.. WON
Most Likely: #5 Indian Blessing 2-1: Becoming a bet-against as week draws on.. 2nd
Next Best: #6 Zaftig 8-1: Huge upset chance if close to Acorn form.. 3rd
Super Add: #3 Intangaroo 9-2: Low figs deceptive; Serious horse best at 7 panels.. 6th
Deep Exotics: #8 Tiz Elemental (20-1) 13th; #10 Miraculous Miss (20-1) 4th

$1 Exacta (12-5) Paid $12.70
$1 Trifecta (12-5-6) Paid $48.70
$1 Superfecta (12-5-6-10) Paid $733.30




4th: BC Juvenile Fillies Turf, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Sugar Mom 10-1: Hard to argue with Catalano magic.. 7th
Most Likely: #11 Saucey Evening 9-2: Should work out necessary trip.. 4th
Next Best: #7 Consequence 8-1: Outfit never runs girls that can't compete.. 6th
Super Add: #2 Laragh 7-2: With one below her, appears solid enough.. 3rd
Deep Exotics: #4 C Karma 8-1: Why is she twice the price of Laragh? 8th



5th: BC Juvenile Fillies (Gr. I), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

May be Friday's most interesting race from a wagering standpoint with logicals either slightly compromised by post draw or less attractive at their quoted ML tote than you would want. Certainly tough to swallow 2-1 on Paasch's very nice Stardom Bound when at least 4-5 have already established their parity with her from a speed figure standpoint..

Best Value: #6 Van Lear Rose 30-1: Yet to regress; Repeat of last can win this.. 6th
Most Likely: #10 Stardom Bound 2-1: Rock solid but will need even more yet.. WON
Next Best: #8 C. S. Silk 15-1: Moving up on radar screens by looking better each morning.. 7th
Super Add: #4 Sky Diva 7-2: Stunning in Frizette but back fast from big effort.. 3rd
Deep Exotics: #2 Persistently 15-1 5th



<$25 P3 Play:

3: 12
4: 2-4-7-8-11
5: 2-4-6-8-10

1x5x5 = $25



6th: BC Filly & Mare Turf, 3+, 10f-T (P3, DD, Super)

O'Brien Irish-bred Halfway to Heaven is emerging as Ballydoyle's banker for the weekend having been within 3 lengths of Zarkava at Paris in the Springtime, and a three time Group 1 winner since.. May waltz.

Most Likely: #8 Halfway to Heaven 4-1: Multiple Group I winner will adore this surface.. 6th
Best Value: #3 Forever Together 6-1: Sheppard-Strawbridge miss has been terrific.. WON
Next Best: #5 Wait a While 3-1: Perfect this course; Nearly perfect this trip.. 3rd
Super Add: #7 Mauralakana 5-1: Clement mare always runs her race.. 5th
Deep Exotics: #4 Visit 15-1: Competitive with pick; Looks good physically.. 4th



7th: BC Ladies Classic (Gr. I), 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super, Super Hi 5)

Keep expecting Shirreffs-Moss monster Zenyatta to be seriously challenged, and she just keeps winning effortessly. Sure hard to simply 'give' her this event with such nice competition lining up though. Belongs at the top of the majority your plays, but be a little defensive in your multi-race plays..

Most Likely: #1 Zenyatta 3-5: Unbeaten, but still needs to pass 'em all; Not a lock.. WON
Best Value: #2 Hysterical Lady 15-1: Will be underbet off last; Expect better here.. 5th
Next Best: #6 Ginger Punch 9-2: Not exactly pointed here but expect good effort.. 6th
Super Add: #3 Cocoa Beach 8-1: Dazzled in the a.m. and seems poised for big effort.. 2nd



8th: 39th Las Palmas (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Black Mamba 5-2 7th
Best Value: #2 Lightmyfirebaby 15-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Valbenny 6-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Lemon Chiffon 10-1 3rd; #13 Gotta Have Her 15-1 5th



<$100 P4 Play:

5: 2-4-6-8-10
6: 3-8
7: 1-2-3-4-6
8: 1-2

5x2x5x2 = $100



Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-25-2008 at 05:46 AM.
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