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#181
03-12-2009, 03:11 PM
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LOCKS ACC: UNC, Duke, FSU, Clemson, Wake Forest, Boston College Big East: Pitt, UConn, Louisville, Marquette, Villanova, Syracuse, West Virginia Big Ten: Michigan State, Purdue, Illinois, Ohio State Big XII: Kansas, Oklahoma, Missouri, Texas, Texas A&M, Oklahoma State Pac-10: UCLA, Washington, Arizona St, Cal SEC: LSU, Tennessee Mountain West: Utah, BYU A-10: Xavier, Dayton Conference USA: Memphis Horizon: Butler, CLEVELAND STATE WCC: GONZAGA So that's 37 teams in 11 conferences. If all of the conferences are won by teams in the above list, plus 20 conferences with an autobid but no lock, that leaves 8 spots open. Changes Today: * Miami loses to VT, out of the running. NIT bound. * Providence loses to Louisville, out of the running. NIT bound. * Northwestern loses to Minnesota, out of the running. NIT bound. ACC: Maryland- As usual, they found a way to lose a game that they had to have, this time to UVA on Saturday. Now 7-9 in the ACC which means they have to win a few in the ACC Tournament to feel safe. OUT Virginia Tech- 18-13 overall, 8-9 in the ACC, 2-8 against the RPI top 50, and 6-11 against the RPI top 100 after the Miami win. That's still a tough sell. OUT, but moving in the right direction. Big East: Big Ten: Wisconsin- Keeping them here but barring a disastrous performance in the first round of the Big Ten tournament they should be fine, even with a loss. IN Minnesota- Gets a victory over Northwestern in the first round. I think they are safe now. IN Michigan- About to beat Iowa in the first round, they are IN. 6-9 against the top 50 and 10-11 against the top 100, even if the road record blows. Penn State- Ugh. I was rooting for them to get back into the Tourney but you CANNOT lose to a team like Iowa at this point of the season. Beat Illinois 2X and split with Purdue, Minny & Michigan, is that enough with that horrific nonconference schedule?? Not right now... OUT Big XII: * Oklahoma State moves into LOCK status because everyone around them keeps collapsing, and they just feel like a tournament team, unlike a lot of these other bums. I don't know for certain if they can afford a loss to Iowa State in the first round but given the way things are right now around them they probably can and still get in. Texas A&M earned it the hard way with a clinching win against Mizzou. Pac-10: Arizona- Does a win at home against #105 Stanford get you in? No, but it certainly cures the blues temporarily. Got a tough matchup with Az State in the first round and might need to win that one. OUT, for now. SEC: South Carolina- No bad losses but no real good wins either. The 10-6 record in the SEC is extremely hollow, but it's still a precedent- no SEC team has ever missed the tournament with a 10-6 league record that I can ever remember. Should be IN barring a horrific loss to either Georgia or Mississippi State in the SEC quarters. Florida- They move back into the picture because everyone else sucks. OUT for now but that Washington win is looking better and better. Must beat Arkansas and Auburn, and 24-10 would be tough to ignore. Mountain West: * Two of the three teams that were in the picture last Friday will make it and they will work it out in Vegas this week. UNLV- had a chance to lock it up and in the process, knock out SDSU but didn't get it done. They get a second crack in the quarterfinals of the Mtn West tournament at home- the winner is IN, the loser is OUT. New Mexico- 12-4 in a tough conference is tough to ignore but man have they flown under the radar. I think they are just IN at this point (as in, the last team in) based on tying for the league title, but shouldn't lose to Wyoming in the quarters or there will be a lot of sweating in Albequerque this week. Missouri Valley: Creighton- if they had won the Illinois State game in the semis they would have locked up a bid but now they have to sweat. I think they're on the right side of the bubble right now with their 9-5 record against the top 100 and sharing the league title with UNI but certainly are playing with fire. IN Others: There are one bid left under the assumption that the Mountain West has a knockout game, none of the ACC under .500 teams are worthy, and UF doesn't make a run in the SEC Tournament. Rhode Island took a loss they really couldn't afford on Saturday against UMass. Right now, I'd give the slot to St. Mary's, because I'm convinced they are worthy with a healthy Patty Mills and they have one shot more to prove he's healthy. Their resume is awfully thin, however, and are my last team in right now.
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please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you 
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#182
03-12-2009, 03:21 PM
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With Michigan's easy win, 7 bids are still available by my count. An Arizona win over Arizona State would trim it to 6.
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#183
03-12-2009, 03:38 PM
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Nice comeback by Marquette. Should be a good finish.
Nice shot on teh drive Scottie. 
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"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#184
03-12-2009, 03:44 PM
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__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#185
03-12-2009, 03:50 PM
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Texas needs to hold on, a loss by them would throw the Big 12 into chaos mode. Moving K-State back up to the bubble could drop all the 9-7s back down to the bubble.
I really only see 5 spots open and one win by South Carolina would take one of them. That leaves Florida, Arizona, Penn State, New Mexico, and the winner of UNLV/SD St fighting for four spots. Arizona looks like they aren't taking their opportunity to wrap a spot up so they will be sweating it out. Of course Temple or Rhode Island could reduce that to three spots or an Auburn/Virginia Tech/K-State/USC/Maryland/Miss St could move themselves into contention with a deep tourney run although none seem likely to do so.
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#186
03-12-2009, 03:54 PM
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__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#187
03-12-2009, 03:57 PM
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#188
03-12-2009, 04:17 PM
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__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#189
03-12-2009, 04:59 PM
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__________________
The Main Course...the chosen or frozen entree?! Last edited by horseofcourse : 03-12-2009 at 05:11 PM.
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#190
03-12-2009, 07:56 PM
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It would be four. Any team having to play so many games in a row is going to be at a disadvantage, No? And especially a team playing as poorly as Baylor had been compared to the beginning of the year. And you are correct. I do not like ATM as a team this year. If you actually watched the Tech game you would understand what I mean by an excusable game to lose.
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#191
03-12-2009, 10:43 PM
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Holy chit...
Syracuse good or not? Jeeezzzzz.
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#192
03-12-2009, 10:44 PM
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__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#194
03-12-2009, 11:02 PM
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This is great stuff. I hope they play all night.
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#195
03-12-2009, 11:17 PM
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Nice shot selection Flynn.
If that play was drawn up to go down like that at the end of 2nd OT, that's embarrassing.
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#196
03-12-2009, 11:23 PM
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Would anyone believe that I left that game 5 minutes in to the 2nd half? Just got home and to see the end of the 2nd ot.
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#197
03-12-2009, 11:37 PM
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An equally laughable shot with time winding down in 3rd OT by UCONN.
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#198
03-12-2009, 11:42 PM
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__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#199
03-13-2009, 07:40 AM
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 got your wish! What a game!
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#200
03-13-2009, 07:43 AM
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Watched on the way home on my phone. Got home at the end of the 3rd OT. Couldn't stay up any longer. What a game!!!
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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