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Old 05-07-2014, 08:14 AM
classhandicapper classhandicapper is offline
Pimlico
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 50
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Great piece!

What about the possibility that since they raced into a headwind early, the early pace was actually a little faster than it looks. Perhaps it's not as moderate as it appears (especially relative to that slow final time).

A few horses may have been impacted negatively "figure wise" by either being on or close (while wide) to that pace chasing. CA Chrome is one for sure.

Lately we've seen some collapsing paces in the Derby (like last year), but there's a lot of room between "average" and "collapse" that can still impact the figures of some of the horses negatively depending on trip and when they made their move.
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