Derby Trail/Triple Crown Notebook

RockHardTen1985 · #1 03-25-2014, 02:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pmayjr

also, if that's your stance on Tamarando, do you take a similar one for California Chrome? Tamarando has arguably come the closest to Cali Chrome lately

Im not a fan of California Chrome at all. I dont think he will win the Santa Anita Derby and for him to be 5-1 in a Derby future is insane IMO. I would not bet him right now at 100-1 w/ someone elses money.

pmayjr · #2 03-25-2014, 09:51 AM

I don't think California Chrome will win the Santa Anita Derby either. I think Sherman didn't wanna enter him, but he knows an 8 week layoff into the Derby is too long. So he felt forced to. I'm not saying the race is just a paid workout for California Chrome, but I think if he gets into a pace duel or a battle in the stretch, I think Victor Espinoza will be instructed to not exert him too much here. The goal is May, not this race. So I think California Chrome loses for that reason. Theyre racing him to keep him sharp, but at the same time don't wanna use him up before the Derby.

Indian Charlie · #3 03-25-2014, 09:54 AM

So, in other words, we should all take the 5/1 on California Chrome?

pmayjr · #4 03-25-2014, 12:42 PM

lol no. He'd have to romp in the SA Derby to make 5/1 good value. Otherwise you'll get that on Derby Day anyway

RockHardTen1985 · #5 03-25-2014, 05:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie

So, in other words, we should all take the 5/1 on California Chrome?

Maybe, Im wrong a lot.