Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 12-04-2013, 06:19 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,865
Default 12/3: Aqueduct ($22k C/O)

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Deep, well-matched NYB group to start C/O sequence with 5-2 favorite The Lady Says Yes solid, but not appreciably better than the next half dozen on the totem. 5-1 players As Well and Miz Owell have been better than the ML choice in fact, but are out-posted. Chow Fun (10-1) is well drawn for run back to 11/2 breakout effort and can adjust to pace kicking off the skein with a bang..

Best Value: #2 Chow Fun 10-1 (A) 3rd
Next Best: #4 The Lady Says Yes 5-2 (A) 4th
Exotics Use: #9 As Well 5-1 (B) 5th
Super Add: #10 Miz Owell 5-1 (B) 7th


5th: CLM, 3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Prudent Investor 7-2 (A) 5th
Next Best: #7 Bemata 5-2 (A) 3rd
Best Value: #5 Strong Defense 6-1 (B) 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Tricky Slam 5-1 (C) 6th


6th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Archer Queen (6-1) represents my favored Triple Whammy (Dropping down, cutting back, turf-to-dirt) but will need to run down loose Recovered (12-1) who showed speed in debut and now gets blinkers and Chucky Lopez.. a recipe for a jailbreak away from the gate..

Most Likely: #9 Archer Queen 6-1 (A) 8th
Best Value: #10 Recovered 12-1 (B) 4th
Next Best: #2 Possetivevibration 10-1 (C) 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Livininthefastlane 4-1 (C) 5th


7th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Talent N Passion is the speed but Sister City a fat 12-1 and gets 7# from her while poised outside for stalk and go voyage. Merry Meadow cleared condition having been DQ'd last time and was within 2L of Comely runner-up Toasting in October. No bargain at 2-1 with this tough group. Speaking of Toasting, famously streaky Albertrani going well right now and Superior Sarah may be coming up to good one 3rd (quasi) off the layoff. My Sparky's race 2 back would be very competitive here too..

Best Value: #8 Sister City 12-1 (A) 4th
Next Best: #4 Merry Meadow 2-1 (A) WON ($3.50)
Exotics Use: #3 Superior Sarah 10-1 (B) 2nd
Super Add: #5 My Sparky 12-1 (C) 6th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Well-matched group of ALW foes, many of whom exit foggy affair 17 days ago (won by Cheyenne Nation) or have each other over the course of the year. Mia Poppy is the pacemaker from inside, but several here have shown ability to close into modest splits. 7yo Compliance Officer not what he once was, but placement here seems appropriate and he has speed to stay within striking distance of the leader. Bruce Kravets returns with capable Bo Strikes Back. Note that AE #12 Non Stop a serious player if drawing in..

Best Value: #8 Bo Strikes Back 8-1 (A) 6th
Next Best: #1 Tiz Gianni 6-1 (B) 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Compliance Officer 5-1 (B) WON ($11.20)
Super Add: #7 Unbridled Fire 10-1 (C) 5th


9th: MCLM/$16k, 3+, 1m

Cheapish MCLM event as finale and you almost have to hang your hat on Street Prince SCR'D who plunges and has races on his resume that are far better than anything anyone else has shown so far..

Best Value: #2 Thunder But Norain 12-1 (A) WON ($9.80)
Next Best: #4 St. Sincere 7-2 (A) 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Muscles Marinara 6-1 (B) 6th
Super Add: #9 Flashy Ross 15-1 (C) 9th


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 2-4
5: 1-7
6: 9
7: 3-4-8
8: 1-2-8
9: 2-4

2x2x1x3x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 9-10
7: 3-4-5-8
8: 1-2-3-5-7-8
9: 2-4-10

2x4x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 12-04-2013 at 03:48 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 12-04-2013, 10:21 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,865
Default

AQU SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 12-04-2013, 02:53 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,865
Default

$77k AQU DBL C/O THURSDAY
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 12-04-2013 at 03:47 PM.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:01 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.