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  #19  
Old 11-24-2006, 10:41 PM
todko todko is offline
Tropical Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Franklin, Ohio
Posts: 280
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The bounce theory is total garbage. It's poor handicapping -- grasping at straws.

Smarty Jones never "bounced". He never ran a single bad race. Neither did the Bid. Neither do many of the low level claimers at your local track. Ghostzapper never bounced. Ever see Gorella run poorly? I haven't.

A horse gets a bad trip and the "bounce" theorists ignore it and claim "bounce". A horse finishes a strong second and you hear "bounce".

Any theory by definition can be tested by empirical evidence -- in the form of discernible patterns. The bounce theorists cannot produce any studies that definitively show patterns that you can bet on. Does a horse "bounce" every 3 races or every 5? Or how about a horse that runs 3 good races then a bad race and then 6 good races and then a bad race? Why the difference in patterns?

The whole theory is garbage.
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