|
|
 |
|
|
|
#1
11-23-2013, 06:29 AM
|
||||
|
||||
Quote:
YEAR, Derby Winner, Pool 1 Payout 2013 (Orb*) $5.00 2012 (I'll Have Another $60.20 2011 (Animal Kingdom*) $6.20 2010 (Super Saver) $43.20 2009 (Mine That Bird*) $5.80 2008 (Big Brown*) $8.60 2007 (Street Sense) $22.80 2006 (Barbaro) $40.20 2005 (Giacomo) $52.00 2004 (Smarty Jones*) $5.60 2003 (Funny Cide) $188.00 2002 (War Emblem*) $7.60 2001 (Monarchos) $36.60 2000 (Fusaichi Pegasus) $27.80 1999 (Charismatic*) $10.20 --Dunbar
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson 
|
|
#2
11-23-2013, 10:30 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
damn. i've never understood the attraction of this particular wager until you posted the retrospective. it's still not anything i would consider handicapping but unless you want to argue the sample size is too small, "all others" could be a good bet. even at 2-5 and assuming a conservative hit rate of 50% (pool 1 is 7/15 so i don't think 50% is unreasonable this much earlier) you either get a 40% return or lose everything. a long term expectation of 20% in roughly 5 months. annualized that and you're near 50%. i don't know anyone that would be unhappy with that return.
|
|
#3
11-23-2013, 12:05 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Yes but the secret is out. The years to bet the field were much more in the beginning of the process. I used to bet a grand on it every year till the public caught on. Now it just isn't as attractive at 3/2 or less field 1....and in Nov? 2/5 to tie up my money isn't happening.
|
|
#4
11-23-2013, 12:15 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
If this was all about drumming up buzz, then put an 8% takeout on the bet. Give people a reason to tie up there money.
|
Hybrid Mode
