NCAA Football betting thread.....

RockHardTen1985 · #1 11-12-2013, 08:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by declansharbor

Bet the whole $2,415 since you seem so sure of it.

PS. Sorry Andy!

Its about value. KC has been disrespected all year regarding Vegas and lines. A proper line for this game is Denver 4.5
KC opened the year at Jags they were minus 3, JOKE. 2 weeks ago vs Buffalo they were minus 3. They have literally been undervalued by vegas EVERY WEEK. And now again. Ill predict right now Denver gets beat 2 out of the next 3. If Im wrong Ill come right here and say I was wrong.

Clip-Clop · #2 11-12-2013, 09:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Its about value. KC has been disrespected all year regarding Vegas and lines. A proper line for this game is Denver 4.5
KC opened the year at Jags they were minus 3, JOKE. 2 weeks ago vs Buffalo they were minus 3. They have literally been undervalued by vegas EVERY WEEK. And now again. Ill predict right now Denver gets beat 2 out of the next 3. If Im wrong Ill come right here and say I was wrong.

34-13 Denver this week. Next week they might get another 50. Three weeks from now will be tight.

RockHardTen1985 · #3 11-12-2013, 10:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Clip-Clop

34-13 Denver this week. Next week they might get another 50. Three weeks from now will be tight.

LOL. OK. People keep counting KC out. I think its comical. Denver needs this win, not KC. Lets be honest KC would have been thrilled w/ an improved 8-8 year. Denver is Super Bowl or bust. Denver is certainly not winning a playoff game in KC or NE. They are not even a lock to win at Mile High,

RockHardTen1985 · #4 11-12-2013, 10:54 PM

I think Jabari Parker is sick of hearing about Wiggins. He was #1 ranked until serious injury. Had a good half.

Clip-Clop · #5 11-13-2013, 09:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

LOL. OK. People keep counting KC out. I think its comical. Denver needs this win, not KC. Lets be honest KC would have been thrilled w/ an improved 8-8 year. Denver is Super Bowl or bust. Denver is certainly not winning a playoff game in KC or NE. They are not even a lock to win at Mile High,

Last year took a miracle to knock them out, literally. This team is far better. The thought that KC would have been satisfied with average doesn't really matter, you think they still feel like they have nothing to lose? Denver feels like they need every win, they also feel the need to be better every week. Denver wins this one big.

RockHardTen1985 · #6 11-14-2013, 08:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Clip-Clop

Last year took a miracle to knock them out, literally. This team is far better. The thought that KC would have been satisfied with average doesn't really matter, you think they still feel like they have nothing to lose? Denver feels like they need every win, they also feel the need to be better every week. Denver wins this one big.

I disagree strongly. The NFL is funny right now. There are tons of good teams that are really not all that good. I see 2 100% legit teams right now. Seattle and KC. Alex Smith scares me a little, but all the guy does is wins. My next tier of teams would be NE, Denver, Carolina and Saints. Green Bay would be right there without the major injuries that have decimated them this year. But even my Pats are not that good. I trust Seattle and KC, its funny 2. Those are likely the 2 biggest home field advantages in the NFL. If those teams are #1 seeds they are going to play for the Super Bowl. Seattle wont lose period. Only NE could beat KC, because of coaching and Brady

Clip-Clop · #7 11-15-2013, 09:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

I disagree strongly. The NFL is funny right now. There are tons of good teams that are really not all that good. I see 2 100% legit teams right now. Seattle and KC. Alex Smith scares me a little, but all the guy does is wins. My next tier of teams would be NE, Denver, Carolina and Saints. Green Bay would be right there without the major injuries that have decimated them this year. But even my Pats are not that good. I trust Seattle and KC, its funny 2. Those are likely the 2 biggest home field advantages in the NFL. If those teams are #1 seeds they are going to play for the Super Bowl. Seattle wont lose period. Only NE could beat KC, because of coaching and Brady

NE and KC will both be exposed this week. And next week and the following. KC has been lucky (very lucky) to get by Keenum, Tuel and Campbell in their last 3 games. This week is going to be tough to watch for KC fans. Denver's defense has outperformed KC's for those weeks against far better teams and QBs.

Clip-Clop · #8 11-15-2013, 03:53 PM

Chiefs at Broncos

OSN’s Pick: Broncos – If there’s a team to snap the Chiefs’ undefeated record, it’s the Broncos, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Saints, or Colts.

I love the Onion.

Clip-Clop · #9 11-18-2013, 09:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Clip-Clop

NE and KC will both be exposed this week. And next week and the following. KC has been lucky (very lucky) to get by Keenum, Tuel and Campbell in their last 3 games. This week is going to be tough to watch for KC fans. Denver's defense has outperformed KC's for those weeks against far better teams and QBs.

And were far better last night too. KC=Fraud.

3kings · #10 11-14-2013, 05:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Its about value. KC has been disrespected all year regarding Vegas and lines. A proper line for this game is Denver 4.5
KC opened the year at Jags they were minus 3, JOKE. 2 weeks ago vs Buffalo they were minus 3. They have literally been undervalued by vegas EVERY WEEK. And now again. Ill predict right now Denver gets beat 2 out of the next 3. If Im wrong Ill come right here and say I was wrong.

I know you think KC is value and being disrespected but they haven't beaten a team this year that currently has a winning record. The two 5-5 teams are Dallas and Philly, hardly murderers row.

RockHardTen1985 · #11 11-14-2013, 07:11 PM

Titans plus 3, $550/500

Danzig · #12 11-14-2013, 07:34 PM

so...you're not done with football?

RockHardTen1985 · #13 11-14-2013, 08:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig

so...you're not done with football?

When did I say this? Like a recent pm said to me....
Even someone making fake bets w/ a $2000 limit would have a hard time showing a profit. I said I would show one when I was almost finished down $1300, and Im going to show a big profit. FWIW Im plus $985 going into Titans tonight. W/ my 2k still there.

Danzig · #14 11-14-2013, 08:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

When did I say this? Like a recent pm said to me....
Even someone making fake bets w/ a $2000 limit would have a hard time showing a profit. I said I would show one when I was almost finished down $1300, and Im going to show a big profit. FWIW Im plus $985 going into Titans tonight. W/ my 2k still there.

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

PLus $415 for the year.
I want to be clear because I see a few comments about 2/3. I gave myself a $2000 limit/stash. I had $2000 for football that I wanted to be my bankroll, but I know I can be reckless. But I told myself if I lost the $2000 thats it, not going into my paychecks not doing anything. Im done with football. Its more of a limit. If I lose it, I have to shut down, period. I was pretty much washed out after 5 bets I was down $1200. Im happy with where Im at right now. Another day like last Saturday and maybe San Deigo makes a field goal I could easily be up big. So my limit as of now is $2415.
I dont think Ill make a habit of this, but it will go towards my limit.

LSU plus 4.5, $550/500
Michigan st minus 2.5, $440/400
Duke minus 5, $330/300

GL

right there.