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  #1  
Old 07-09-2013, 05:16 PM
Sightseek's Avatar
Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Congrats Dougie-poo! The information that you have provided here has been both invaluable and original and you have taught me more about watching races and horse history than any other resource.

I can't wait to see your work there.
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  #2  
Old 07-09-2013, 06:08 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek View Post
Congrats Dougie-poo! The information that you have provided here has been both invaluable and original and you have taught me more about watching races and horse history than any other resource.

I can't wait to see your work there.
Really....He is still selling hot dog vouchers at PID that he scammed in a betting promotion. Just because he finally got a real job? The guy was O for 32 years now Lo and Behold CJ takes pity on him and he is Dougie Poo from Dougie poop?

Just Kidding
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  #3  
Old 07-09-2013, 06:16 PM
outofthebox outofthebox is offline
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Congrats guys! Looking forward to it. Now i can see your frustration with the tracks tele timers as your numbers are formulated with pace and final time..Anyway, best of luck!
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  #4  
Old 07-09-2013, 06:42 PM
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tiggerv tiggerv is offline
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Great news. Been a big fan of CJs figures. Good luck guys
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  #5  
Old 07-09-2013, 07:03 PM
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pweizer pweizer is offline
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I just watched some videos and it looks very cool. I will sign up as soon as you open for business.

Paul
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  #6  
Old 07-09-2013, 07:28 PM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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How are blinkers on/off going to be treated in the Pace Projector?
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  #7  
Old 07-09-2013, 10:54 PM
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Calzone Lord Calzone Lord is offline
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Originally Posted by Sightseek View Post
How are blinkers on/off going to be treated in the Pace Projector?
That's a great question.

The pace projector is based off of past pace figures and running styles.

Blinkers are generally a speed enhancer and can sometimes fire up a horse early on, but they come in different cup sizes and it's very tough to quantify how much of an impact they will have on a horses early speed.

The pace projector is nice because it gives a quick and clean look at how the pace is expected to unfold based on past data... but it does not take into account the human factor or equipment changes like 1st blinkers. That part, is left up to the bettor.

The human factor is the other main thing that's hard to quantify. Jockeys, either by their own choice or by trainer instruction, can hustle a horse early and get it to show uncharacteristic levels of early speed. Just as they can grab a hold of the horse, and rate it along through the early stages, going much slower than it typically would.

If a jockey/trainer thinks that a race is paceless or thinks that the track is speed biased... they're more likely to ride aggressive early. In situations where the pace figures to be contested, and the strongest horses are mid-pack or closer types...you'll often see multiple jockeys trying to hold their horses through the early stages.

Basically, the human factor and equipment changes are left up to the bettor.

A great example of the usefulness of the pace projector in a high profile race just happened with the Queen's Plate last Sunday:



At just a glance, it was crystal clear that Midnight Aria was projected to be absolutely isolated on a loose early lead. As it turned out, he was able to glide along on a loose early lead with no pressure. Midnight Aria parlayed the perfect trip into a wire-to-wire win at 16/1 odds.
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  #8  
Old 07-10-2013, 06:37 AM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
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congrats on the new product line.doug cj. will you be doing any American pps for ascot and other big euro meets..?
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  #9  
Old 07-10-2013, 07:09 AM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
That's a great question.

The pace projector is based off of past pace figures and running styles.

Blinkers are generally a speed enhancer and can sometimes fire up a horse early on, but they come in different cup sizes and it's very tough to quantify how much of an impact they will have on a horses early speed.

The pace projector is nice because it gives a quick and clean look at how the pace is expected to unfold based on past data... but it does not take into account the human factor or equipment changes like 1st blinkers. That part, is left up to the bettor.

The human factor is the other main thing that's hard to quantify. Jockeys, either by their own choice or by trainer instruction, can hustle a horse early and get it to show uncharacteristic levels of early speed. Just as they can grab a hold of the horse, and rate it along through the early stages, going much slower than it typically would.

If a jockey/trainer thinks that a race is paceless or thinks that the track is speed biased... they're more likely to ride aggressive early. In situations where the pace figures to be contested, and the strongest horses are mid-pack or closer types...you'll often see multiple jockeys trying to hold their horses through the early stages.

Basically, the human factor and equipment changes are left up to the bettor.

A great example of the usefulness of the pace projector in a high profile race just happened with the Queen's Plate last Sunday:



At just a glance, it was crystal clear that Midnight Aria was projected to be absolutely isolated on a loose early lead. As it turned out, he was able to glide along on a loose early lead with no pressure. Midnight Aria parlayed the perfect trip into a wire-to-wire win at 16/1 odds.
This is really brilliant for the weekend player or one who has limited time to commit to their handicapping because even if the human factor is such that the race isn't run to the Pace Projector, one can print and note the Projector on how the race was really run and the circumstances surrounding the result to move forward to the next starts for the horses involved. (particularly for Breeders' Cup)

(Your rating systems of races is also super-friendly to the player who has less time to commit.)
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  #10  
Old 07-11-2013, 06:59 AM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
That's a great question.

The pace projector is based off of past pace figures and running styles.

Blinkers are generally a speed enhancer and can sometimes fire up a horse early on, but they come in different cup sizes and it's very tough to quantify how much of an impact they will have on a horses early speed.

The pace projector is nice because it gives a quick and clean look at how the pace is expected to unfold based on past data... but it does not take into account the human factor or equipment changes like 1st blinkers. That part, is left up to the bettor.

The human factor is the other main thing that's hard to quantify. Jockeys, either by their own choice or by trainer instruction, can hustle a horse early and get it to show uncharacteristic levels of early speed. Just as they can grab a hold of the horse, and rate it along through the early stages, going much slower than it typically would.

If a jockey/trainer thinks that a race is paceless or thinks that the track is speed biased... they're more likely to ride aggressive early. In situations where the pace figures to be contested, and the strongest horses are mid-pack or closer types...you'll often see multiple jockeys trying to hold their horses through the early stages.

Basically, the human factor and equipment changes are left up to the bettor.

A great example of the usefulness of the pace projector in a high profile race just happened with the Queen's Plate last Sunday:



At just a glance, it was crystal clear that Midnight Aria was projected to be absolutely isolated on a loose early lead. As it turned out, he was able to glide along on a loose early lead with no pressure. Midnight Aria parlayed the perfect trip into a wire-to-wire win at 16/1 odds.
Do you think analyzing trainers and/or jocks past races for times they had a horse that previously showed no front end speed but siezed the lead in a subsequent outing could provide some sort of usable metric?
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  #11  
Old 07-09-2013, 08:49 PM
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Thunder Gulch Thunder Gulch is offline
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It looks tremendous guys. Nice touch with the free daily race and instructional videos because there's a lot of great info from what I can see.
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  #12  
Old 07-09-2013, 08:57 PM
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cmorioles cmorioles is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by outofthebox View Post
Congrats guys! Looking forward to it. Now i can see your frustration with the tracks tele timers as your numbers are formulated with pace and final time..Anyway, best of luck!
It can be really frustrating, but it can be a good thing because we catch a lot of them that other providers don't. I'm sure we don't catch every one but do get most.
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  #13  
Old 07-09-2013, 09:47 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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congrats, and best of luck!
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