5/18 (PIM): 138th Preakness S. (G1); 7 Undercard Stakes

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

Its just strange to me Baffert is shipping this horse around to run in NW1x races when he could easily win these events at home for the same money. Something just doesn't seem right, but yea on paper he should win.

Who in there can beat him though? The only horse I could even consider is Crown Polis as McMahon is a pretty good move up trainer.

I can't believe I am trumpeting the merits of a 1/5 shot on paper, but I'm just trying to figure out who the alternative is. Aren't there much better races to try and best the favorite this weekend?

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Who in there can beat him though? The only horse I could even consider is Crown Polis as McMahon is a pretty good move up trainer.

I can't believe I am trumpeting the merits of a 1/5 shot on paper, but I'm just trying to figure out who the alternative is. Aren't there much better races to try and best the favorite this weekend?

Exactly. He almost has to fall down to lose.

Crown Polis is the only logical alternative, but he has been through the Ziadie and Vazquez machines and will now have to duplicate a career best effort in just 3 weeks? Not for me.

[Port Conway Lane]

$1 DD will pays
ORB--------------------2
GOLDENCENTS--------24
TITLETOWN FIVE-----172
DEPARTING------------27
MYLUTE----------------37
OXBOW----------------50
WILL TAKE CHARGE--30
GOVENOR CHARLIE---30
ITSMYLUCKYDAY------22

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane

$1 DD will pays
ORB--------------------2
GOLDENCENTS--------24
TITLETOWN FIVE-----172
DEPARTING------------27
MYLUTE----------------37
OXBOW----------------50
WILL TAKE CHARGE--30
GOVENOR CHARLIE---30
ITSMYLUCKYDAY------22

Even money on Orb! Those bettors are getting less than 1-2 on Orb.

--Dunbar

[Port Conway Lane]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

Even money on Orb! Those bettors are getting less than 1-2 on Orb.

--Dunbar

Yep. Almost 700k in the pool. The best case scenario for the DD is $2.80 for a buck. The winner of the Special paid $3.20. $10 to win in the first leg gives you $16 to put on Orb so a parlay at 1/2 pays $24.

[my miss storm cat]

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane

TITLETOWN FIVE-----172
GOVENOR CHARLIE---30

I hope Orb wins, I think he'll win (hell I think he'll win the TC but will only say that this one time and wait till after the Preakness to get all excited) but I had to do the DD with these two just incase. It was too good to pass up.

Agree with Clip Clop... the Dixie looks like a great betting race.

Nice to see Forte Dei Marmi entered as there wasn't much news after he was pulled up that last time out.

[Port Conway Lane]

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat

I hope Orb wins, I think he'll win (hell I think he'll win the TC but will only say that this one time and wait till after the Preakness to get all excited) but I had to do the DD with these two just incase. It was too good to pass up.

Agree with Clip Clop... the Dixie looks like a great betting race.

Nice to see Forte Dei Marmi entered as there wasn't much news after he was pulled up that last time out.

Depending on who you like they're all great prices.Oxbow's double looks like decent value.
Orb's biggest obstacle is Murphy's law.

[Benny]

Weather report has 20-30 % rain possible for the day and I heard on the simo today that the Pick 5 must be paid out saturday with a carryover of $88K. Goodluck !

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by Benny

Weather report has 20-30 % rain possible for the day and I heard on the simo today that the Pick 5 must be paid out saturday with a carryover of $88K. Goodluck !

I heard that as well but couldn't find any confirmation online. Will handicap it as if that's the case.

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

Exactly. He almost has to fall down to lose.

Crown Polis is the only logical alternative, but he has been through the Ziadie and Vazquez machines and will now have to duplicate a career best effort in just 3 weeks? Not for me.

You to touting a 1-5 shot? Whats happening to you? I notice a lot of chalk in your picks on Togas website. You never used to cap that way.
Nice call on Denver in the first round also. You came in all smug, told me how good they were. Never said another word about it? Good luck tomorrow.

[Alabama Stakes]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

You to touting a 1-5 shot? Whats happening to you? I notice a lot of chalk in your picks on Togas website. You never used to cap that way.
Nice call on Denver in the first round also. You came in all smug, told me how good they were. Never said another word about it? Good luck tomorrow.

are you gonna take that from him Mr. Hoss ? wow how the mighty have fallen.

[Merlinsky]

Just heard Eddie Altchek (sp?) on NBC Sports say there are tight turns about Pimlico. Everybody do a shot. Ok he just did it a 3rd time when picking Departing. Someone tell the man it's how the turns are banked not how tight they are.

[pointman]

Originally Posted by Merlinsky

Just heard Eddie Altchek (sp?) on NBC Sports say there are tight turns about Pimlico. Everybody do a shot. Ok he just did it a 3rd time when picking Departing. Someone tell the man it's how the turns are banked not how tight they are.

I saw an article yesterday where Doug O'Neill was quoted saying the turns are tight at Pimlico as well. I find it incredible that someone like him does not know the truth.

[Merlinsky]

Originally Posted by pointman

I saw an article yesterday where Doug O'Neill was quoted saying the turns are tight at Pimlico as well. I find it incredible that someone like him does not know the truth.

Seriously? Geez. At least NBC Sports' research team couldn't let it slide. They came back from commercial and were like oh goody, perfect opportunity to show that thing we'd already put together to talk about at some point. Jerry and Laffit didn't want to embarrass the guy before.