How Derby winners have performed in Preakness since '89

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by pweizer

You jumped off the Goldencents bandwagon awfully quickly. I think he may be the one I would try.

Paul

Speaking of which...

Here's another stat from the good ole Post Derby file:

In the history of the Derby, 74 horses have now run an opening 1/4 mile faster than 22.80 seconds.

Only one of those 74 went on to win. Bold Forbes in 1976.

10 beaten post time favorites among the 74 horses who went faster than 22.80 in the opening quarter.

Four went faster than 22.80 this year:

Palace Malice
Goldencents (beaten 49.5 lengths)
Falling Sky (beaten 53 lengths)
Verrazano (beaten just 15.75 lengths)


Vyjack (beaten 52.75 lengths) missed the cut by running his first quarter in 22.86 but having to go so wide into the first turn after running that fast quarter probably didn't help his cause much.

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by miraja2

Yep. The info you provided is good and definitely shows a useful historical trend. But three of those Derby-winning closers were only denied a repeat in the Preakness by Summer Squall, Curlin, and Rachel Alexandra. I don't think there's anybody like that lining up against Orb in Pimlico.

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Doesn't Orbs Fl Derby tell you he can be much closer to the pace if needed?

Originally Posted by pweizer

You jumped off the Goldencents bandwagon awfully quickly. I think he may be the one I would try.

Paul

He did look uncomfortable on the track on Saturday.