5/3 (CD) 139th KY OAKS: Flashy Gray KO'd with foot bruise

[tywizard]

Looking at PPs for Oaks contenders....Nothing but 1s and 2s for just about every horse at every call. 10w going into the first turn?!

I'm of the opinion that the fastest horse should and typically does win a race but it's hard to ignore the pace scenario here. It is possible that everyone tries to rate and a horse like Beholder is able to get a rather easy lead....

If the race were to collapse is Unlimited Budget the most likely beneficiary? That's my initial thought.

[pweizer]

Wouldn't Pure Fun be the one to pick them up if it does collapse?

Paul

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by pweizer

Wouldn't Pure Fun be the one to pick them up if it does collapse?

Paul

One would think, but I'm afraid she McPeeked.

[pweizer]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

One would think, but I'm afraid she McPeeked.

She has run a very unconventional campaign this year but is certainly talented. She should get a dream set up and will be a huge price. Maybe she isn't the same horse she was at two but I am intrigued.

Paul

[outofthebox]

Originally Posted by pweizer

She has run a very unconventional campaign this year but is certainly talented. She should get a dream set up and will be a huge price. Maybe she isn't the same horse she was at two but I am intrigued.

Paul

I agree. Her campaign with the two poly races will definitely clutter her form. I don't really understand the logic behind her placement this year, but it could have been McPeek fell behind schedule this winter at GP. I laughed when he was touting her in DRF for the Lexington...

[3kings]

Originally Posted by pweizer

She has run a very unconventional campaign this year but is certainly talented. She should get a dream set up and will be a huge price. Maybe she isn't the same horse she was at two but I am intrigued.

Paul

Because of the pace senerio I think she will take more action than would normally be justified, at least in the multirace sequences.

[lemoncrush]

I get that the pace dynamics could collapse the race, but I have a hard time envisioning Beholder, Dreaming of Julia, Midnight Lucky and Unlimited Budget ALL sh*tting the bed in this race and giving Pure Fun a chance to steal it.

This is going to be a fun race.

[RockHardTen1985]

Unless everyone else grabs Beholder doesn't have a prayer in the Oaks. She has got soft trip after soft trip and beat absolutely nothing since the Breeders Cup.

[3kings]

Originally Posted by pweizer

She has run a very unconventional campaign this year but is certainly talented. She should get a dream set up and will be a huge price. Maybe she isn't the same horse she was at two but I am intrigued.

Paul

Good call on her price. I thought the morning line maker might bring her down a little because of the projected race dynamics.