2/2: Gulfstream (2nd-11th); Santa Anita (4th-10th)

[Kasept]

GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


2nd: CLM, 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Spielberg 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #1 Break Up the Game 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Well Read 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Wingedlie 4-1 2nd


3rd: 6th Gulfstream Park Turf Sprint, 4+, 5f-T/96' (P3, DD)

Like the Toboggan at AQU, just 6 but hardly an easy group to decipher. Not sure you don't need the 'all' button to get through..

Most Likely: #1 Varsity 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #5 Silver Cloud 5-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Great Attack 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Berlino Di Tiger 4-1 6th


4th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Crown Polis 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #8 Cool Colony 3-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Allard 15-1 11th
Exotics Use: #9 R Paynes Prince 4-1 2nd

<$5 DIME SUPER: 7 with 3-8-9-10 with 3-8-9-10 with 3-5-8-9-10-11 (1x4x3x4 = 48 x .10 = $4.80)


5th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD)

First important sophomore race of the day pits 2nd timer Verrazano v. Casse/Oxley Pasco runner up Sky Commander SCR'D, Zito/Whitney MDN winner Eton Blue and 2nd Casse player Gunderman. Top performance(s) will earn Fountain of Youth or similar stakes placement. I usually run the other way from Pletcher Cadillacs like Verrazano (El Padrino half brother), but impressive pressence schooling at Gulfstream last Thursday and 3 drills since 1/1/13 debut score over next out winner have me convinced..

Most Likely: #4 Verrazano 8-5 WON ($2.40)
Next Best: #2 Gunderman 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Eton Blue 6-1 2nd


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-4-5-7
3: 1-2-3-4-5-6
4: 7
5: 4 (2)

Verrazano: 4x6x1x1 = 24 x $1.50 = $36 $0.50 Pick 4 (4/1/7/3,4,7) Paid $9.20 x 3 = $27.60
Gunderman: 4x6x1x1 = 24 x .50 = $12


6th: FL-MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$1,122,116 Rainbow 6 carryover starts here..

Tricky start to Rainbow sequence. Likely need to use the 4 below to get through first leg. Calabrese firster #1 Dreaming of Lucy WON and Plesa returnee #7 Sugar Babe are considers for deep P6 plays..

Most Likely: #9 Form Fitting 5-2 6th
Best Value: #2 Burning Truth 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 With Prejudice 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Red Diamond Lady 6-1 7th


7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T/36' (P5, P3, DD)

Prado inherits appropriate fave Tricky Hat with Rosario at Tampa today and should get position before turn with only Saint Pete hustling early..

Most Likely: #10 Tricky Hat 2-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Shkspeare Shaliyah 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Hobbs 5-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Loukas 12-1 5th


8th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Now or never for Smooth Air brother Air Squadron in 3rd career start and imagine Chad Brown has him ready after Castellano found trouble last time..

Most Likely: #7 Air Squadron 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Kid Twist 6-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Doherty 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Jagger M 4-1 4th

<$5 DIME SUPER: Key 7 in 1st/2nd with 2-4-5-8 (1x4x3x2 + 4x1x3x2 = 48 x .10 = $4.80)


9th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T/96' (P3, DD)

Yikes! Super competitive group. No combination would surprise..

Most Likely: #6 Silver Rock 6-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Exclusive Strike 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Wait'n On Sumthin 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #1 No Play 6-1 8th


10th: 62nd Hutcheson (G2), 3yo, 7f (DD)

Assume Forty Tales has had enough time to acclimate to So. FL. Repeat of Philly effort makes him tough to beat here..

Most Likely: #1 Forty Tales 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Merit Man 3-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Pataky Kid 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Honorable Dillon 8-1 WON ($7.20)


11th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T/36' (Super Hi-5)

Jumbled set of lightly and unraced types. Total guessing game..

Best Value: #10 Reach for the Sky 10-1 10th
Next Best: #3 Oistin's Town 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 North Slope 6-1 WON ($7.40)
Super Add: #12 Drenched 7-2 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #4 Autobahn Legend 6-1 8th


<$30 P6 Play:

6: 1-2-6-7-8-9
7: 10
8: 2-4-7
9: 1-4-6-8
10: 1
11: 3-9-10-12

6x1x3x4x1x4 = 288 x .10 = $28.80


<$50 P5 Play:

7: 10
8: 2-4-7
9: 1-4-6-8
10: 1-5
11: 3-9-10-12

1x3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-4-7
9: 1-4-6-8
10: 1-5
11: 3-4-5-9-10-12

3x4x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72



SANTA ANITA PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: 75th Bob Lewis (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Whether Flashback scared off competition for this or not, his effort here today will be heavily scrutinized. Looks to have everything his own way on front end over and above the perceived talent edge..

Most Likely: #2 Flashback 3-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #3 Den's Legacy 5-2 2nd


5th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Topic 9-2 5th
Next Best: #1 Magnificent Shirl 3-1 WON ($5.70)
Exotics Use: #7 Tizmetizyou 5-2 4th
Super Add: #10 Hard Rockin Girl 6-1 6th


6th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

As pointed out by Rick Hammerle Friday, an unusual gethering with 5 of the 11 returning from layoffs of 7-12 months including serious Carla Gaines' serious American Blend..

Most Likely: #11 American Blend 6-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Italian Rules 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #4 Wall Dance 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Luckarack 6-1 6th


7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Power Foot 4-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Ivanho 5-1 WON ($15.60)
Next Best: #4 Oligarch 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Press Baron 7-2 6th


8th: 66th Strub (G2), 4yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Chess match event with top San Fernando finishers right back. Who will want to engage Fed Biz and at what point?

Most Likely: #2 Fed Biz 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Guilt Trip 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Tritap 5-2 5th


9th: 54th Arcadia (G2), 4+, 1m-T (DD)

Tremendous lineup and thinking pace may get hot with any number of parties looking for early position. Question needing to be asked is who is preping for Kilroe and who is dead red today?

Most Likely: #11 Wilkinson 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Vagabond Shoes 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #13 Suggestive Boy 9-2 WON ($10.40)
Best Value: #1 Klisz 15-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Silentio 6-1 3rd


10th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Lots of speed signed on. Looking for a rallying sort..

Most Likely: #14 Et Tu Walker 9-2 WON ($11.60)
Best Value: #1 Time to Doubledown 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Eaton Hall 5-2 13th
Exotics Use: #3 Heza Fox 8-1 12th
Super Add: #7 Coyote Road 9-2 6th


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-6-8-9-10
8: 2
9: 3-11-13
10: 1-2-3-7-14

6x1x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

GP SCR/CHG'S

[atolunch]

Steve,

Here's to keeping the mojo going!

Thanks as always, and best of luck today.

Please double check the 8th race @ Gulfstream. In your verticals you have the #1 listed, I think you want the #2 Dogherty in those spots.

[Kasept]

http://www.equibase.com/static/latec...gesSA-USA.html