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#1
11-16-2012, 07:21 AM
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11/16: Churchill Downs (6th-10th); Hollywood Park (1st-5th)
Got roughed up at Churchill Thursday reaching for too many prices that fell short (Witty Gal, Bold Tap) and missing the ones that came through ($21 Flashy Rae, $37 Chief's Revenge)! The sequences were well worth trying though as the P5 returned $15,400 and the late quad $1,950. Another nice Downs sequence this afternoon and Hollywood P5 includes the debut of the Zenyatta sister Eblouissante in the 4th (5:02pm ET)..
CHURCHILL DOWNS POST-SCRATCHES 6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD) Race features debut of #10 Top Priority (15-1) full brother of Tiz Miz Sue.. Most Likely: #8 Bemata 2-1 4th Best Value: #9 Rap d'Oro 12-1 10th Next Best: #2 D Y N for a Star 6-1 8th Exotics Use: #6 Ruble 8-1 2nd 7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Happy to give Original Art, now with Grant Forster, the chance returning to dirt after polytrack non-effort last time.. Best Value: #8 Original Art 5-1 2nd Next Best: #3 Classy Cove 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #4 Forest Station 10-1 9th Super Add: #1 Seeker 5-2 3rd 8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD) #3 Catbird Seat (6-1) is half to Gemologist and gets to organic main in 2nd start after useful debut. #5 Speed Date is half to MGSW Eye of the Tiger and Jim Corrigan usually has them ready to run.. Most Likely: #3 Catbird Seat 6-1 6th Best Value: #5 Speed Date 12-1 9th Next Best: #7 Irish Lute 2-1 WON ($4.60) Exotics Use: #12 Moonrite 12-1 5th 9th: OC/C, 3+, 1m-T (DD) Curious assembly.. Best Value: #6 Dimension 12-1 8th Next Best: #3 Strike Impact 4-1 6th Exotics Use: #4 Grand Berry 15-1 7th Super Add: #2 Noble's Promise 3-1 2nd 10th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f (Super Hi-5) Rough looking set. #1 Street Dreams (8-5) give away highly suspicious.. Best Value: #7 Special Gift 12-1 7th Next Best: #1 Street Dreams 8-5 11th Exotics Use: #12 Stormylittlerosey 3-1 6th Super Add: #4 Red Banks Reality 10-1 10th <$75 P5 Play: 6: 2-8-9 7: 3-8 8: 3-5-7 9: 2-3-4-6 10: 1-7 3x2x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 3-4-8 8: 3-5-7-12 9: 2-3-4-6 10: 1-7-12 3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 HOLLYWOOD PARK PRE-SCRATCHES 1st: ALW/N3X, 3+, 6f-T (P5, P3, DD) Short but serious group. Nice to see Willyconker back.. Most Likely: #2 Circa'sgoldengear 2-1 2nd Best Value: #5 Willyconker 5-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Ain't No other 5-2 WON ($8.20) 2nd: CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #6 Bruno's Wager 6-1 7th Next Best: #5 Privilaged 3-1 3rd Exotics Use: #4 Arresting Officer 6-1 WON ($20.00) Super Add: #8 SCR 3rd: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD) Best Value: #13 I Cee's a Tiger 5-1 2nd Next Best: #1 Princess Suances 9-2 10th Exotics Use: #7 Single N Lovin It 8-1 6th Super Add: #11 Warren's Passion 8-1 3rd 4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD) Zenyatta half sis Eblouissante worked 45 times leading up to today's debut. Every indication is that she has talent but is big and slightly lumbering. Finally showed some speed in last drill and will have to use it to stay close enough for late bid. Will certainly be overbet.. Most Likely: #8 Playful Humor 7-2 7th Next Best: #4 Chestnut Moon 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #3 Eblouissante 4-1 WON ($4.80) Super Add: #5 Belonging 3-1 4th 5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #10 Awkward Mondays 6-1 2nd Next Best: #2 Bling Cha Bling 3-1 7th Exotics Use: #1 Omar 5-1 WON ($29.00) Super Add: #3 Bold Agressor 8-1 6th <$75 P5 & <$50 P4 Plays: 1: 2-4-5 2: 5-6 3: 1-7-11-13 4: 3-4-8 5: 2-10 (1-3) P5: 3x2x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 P4: 2x4x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 11-17-2012 at 07:15 AM. 
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#3
11-16-2012, 11:00 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
11-16-2012, 11:02 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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