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#1
11-14-2012, 07:17 AM
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11/14: Aqueduct ($89k Dbl C/O)
Despite enjoying a nice snapback Sunday after a poor Saturday, pair of 4/6 carryover attempts was maddening. HollyPark sequence went to 2 clever players for $235k each, but a residual $89,500 double C/O is in place at the Big A this afternoon. As discussed with Andy Serling on Tuesday ATR, there could be enough spots for narrowing to enable appropriate spreads in the quandary events.
AQUEDUCT POST-SCRATCHES 4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD) $89k double P6 C/O starts here.. As Andy said, there's a lot of 'go to' karma involved on Jason Servis & Jose Lezcano with Magic Harbor (SCR'D). He's the most consistent player in this weak group, but it's always distressing to lean on a maiden that runs similar races in MCLM ranks that they did v. MSW foes and still lose. Drops to lowest level, moves T2D and adds top pilot. Now or never. Doubt I've used two many Persaud runners in P6's, but can't help but notice that Know This turned into an actual horse when getting Lasix first time 2 weeks ago. Will be ignored. Best Value: #10 Crushin Rock 10-1 6th Next Best: #8 Praetorian Guard 4-1 WON ($5.80) Exotics Use: #11 Know This 10-1 2nd Super Add: #5 Tactical Saenz 6-1 4th 5th: NYSS, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD) You almost have to live and die with Sportswriter to build affordable tickets, but 7f is a different animal and strange things happen to pure three quarter types at this testing trip.. Most Likely: #2 Sportswriter 1-4 WON ($2.40) Best Value: #7 Maggie's Hadder 10-1 3rd Next Best: #1 Game Token 8-1 4th Exotics Use: #5 Frisky Warrior 6-1 5th 6th: NY-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD) As Andy and I mentioned, this is a weird agglomeration of misfit fillies including 3 nondescript FTS and 6 second time starters which exit 4 different races. Watch if the AE's get in as the 13 and 14 are as viable as the rest of this whatnot.. Best Value: #6 Wild Child 15-1 7th Next Best: #2 Dee Dee's Comet 12-1 10th Exotics Use: #4 Boldchildsrevenge 7-2 5th Super Add: #7 T C Lane 3-1 9th 7th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD) Solid set and agree wholeheartedly with Andy that with no shortage of speed lined up, Royal Sighting should get an ideal stalk and go trip under Ramon.. Most Likely: #4 Royal Sighting 3-1 WON ($9.10) Best Value: #5 Funky Munky Mama 8-1 5th Next Best: #8 Natalie Victoria 5-2 4th Exotics Use: #7 Catinatree 6-1 3rd 8th: NY-OC/C, 3+, 1m (DD) There are races that you look at and you feel like you aren't going to figure it out confidently no matter what you do. This is one of those for me. Roaring Conquest isn't anything special but feels like the most likely with anything close to the off turf win at Belmont two back. Southbeachsandy is a consistent sort but 0/7 at the trip, albeit with 4 placements. Bullnose Brick is preposterous, but he knows how to win, has races at FL and HOO that fit and may get an advantageous set up.. Most Likely: #7 Roaring Conquest 5-2 8th Next Best: #5 Southbeachsandy 3-1 4th Best Value: #1 Bullnose Brick 15-1 3rd Exotics Use: #9 What's the Record 6-1 WON ($8.50) 9th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T Turf listed as 'good' to start the day.. Best Value: #8 Captain Gaughen 8-1 3rd Next Best: #7 Gulltopper 7-2 DNF Exotics Use: #1 Ego Friendly 4-1 6th Super Add: #2 Noosh's Tale 30-1 WON ($111.50) <$150 P6 Play: 4: 4-5-8-9-10-11 5: 2 6: 2-4-6 7: 4 8: 5-7 9: 7-8 3x1x3x1x4x2 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 2-4-6-7 7: 4-5 8: 1-5-7 9: 1-2-3-5-7-8 4x2x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 11-14-2012 at 03:29 PM. 
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#2
11-14-2012, 07:31 AM
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BOL Steve, I'm taking a stab as well. PK6 - 5 / 2 / 3 7 / 2 4 7 8 / 2 / 5 8 = $32
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Good jockeys don't need instructions and bad ones don't follow them Last edited by Bogey : 11-14-2012 at 06:12 PM.
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#3
11-14-2012, 10:13 AM
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AQU SCR/CHG'S
Huge SCR's as #3 Magic Harbor comes out of the 4th and #6 Face the Race exits the 9th...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
11-14-2012, 02:13 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#6
11-14-2012, 03:23 PM
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$126,543.00 for the P6..
$8,293.75 (.50) for the P4..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
11-14-2012, 03:34 PM
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9th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T
Turf listed as 'good' to start the day.. Best Value: #8 Captain Gaughen 8-1 3rd Next Best: #7 Gulltopper 7-2 DNF Exotics Use: #1 Ego Friendly 4-1 6th Super Add: #2 Noosh's Tale 30-1 WON ($111.50) Very nice!!! Hope you had a taste of this one.
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#8
11-14-2012, 11:18 PM
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In what galaxy are 4th choices "great selections?"
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
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#9
11-16-2012, 06:12 AM
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As Bos mentions above, discussed on radio Wednesday that strictly from a pedigree standpoint and as a big price, Noosh's Tale was a horse you probably wanted to include in your plays somehow. As a half to Yield Bogey he had plenty of license to put it together at some point and the prior two starts were not to be held against him with the off turf and saddle slip incident. As Andy points out, I hardly expected him to win and didn't bet him straight, but since it was a modest field, it was a good place to tinker and use a seemingly impossible type.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 11-16-2012 at 07:25 AM.
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#10
11-16-2012, 06:38 AM
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Black Pot
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when they pay $111.50 and you go 4 deep it would be the Milky Way galaxy. From the guy who puts out 5 or 6 hosses in most races ? Too much time using public transportation, which in Boston, is for people who don't own a car.
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#11
11-16-2012, 06:52 AM
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#12
11-16-2012, 07:03 AM
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Are you kidding me. Andy makes fun of everyone that disagree's with his opinion. I have never figured out if just his shtick or if he's really as arrogant as he comes across. Either way what goes around comes around.
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#13
11-16-2012, 07:53 AM
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how is that busting someone about losing picks ? Surly was downplaying Byks awesome spotting of a 50-1 shot, who he had as an exotics use, just because he was 4th on the 4 hoss totem pole. Meanwhile he lists 5 or 6 hosses every race. Oh and it's not schtick, he was that arrogant even as a teenager.
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#14
11-16-2012, 07:57 AM
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 cornro.....I mean Artisan Braids with a Tom Brady jersey......... 
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Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#15
11-16-2012, 07:58 AM
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I'm confused.
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#16
11-16-2012, 09:09 AM
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spending $30 and boxing 5 hosses in 12-14 hoss fields can be very profitable./
just went on talking hosses website. For friday in races 1 3 4 5 6 8 he has 5 selections, in race 9 he has 6. Care to respond mr. Hoss ?
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#17
11-16-2012, 09:23 AM
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Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#18
11-16-2012, 09:33 AM
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
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#19
11-16-2012, 09:44 AM
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I wish people would go back and listen to Tuesday's show when this horse came up. Steve didn't endorse him, I talked about how I had lost money on the horse, and said that it hadn't shown an ability to run, something proven in its pps. NEVER did anyone either pick him or condemn his chances, he was merely mentioned as a part of the race, a race where the horse I selected was SCRATCHED.
The haters in this thread are laughable. Sorry if some of you have never argued about races with your friends ( we know at least one in this discussion has none ). I've done it all my life....and I'm not about to stop because some jealous crybabies in this thread don't like it. Judging by our audience for Talking Horses, many people that actually bet ( our intended audience ) would disagree with the haters here. To each their own.
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
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#20
11-16-2012, 02:46 PM
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Linear Mode
