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Old 11-11-2012, 05:39 AM
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Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
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Default 11/11: Aqueduct ($29k C/O); Hollywood ($116k C/O)

Parades of big priced winners set off fireworks at Aqueduct and Hollywood Saturday with so many tough to pin horses that carryovers were in place before the late doubles at both venues! Some of the upsetters felt impossible, while a few were plausable and then some. Firster Vyjack kicked off the New York P6 sequence at 18-1, but the Into Mischief gelding was noted as a half to Neil Howard's Prime Cut who was fast early too. Discreet Lady ended the Big A sextet and was crazily overlaid at 23-1 dropping down to $15k and showing the maiden win 2 back that was in range versus the group. At Inglewood, venerable Dance With Gable ($25.00) and eye-crossing Why Not Be Perfect ($91.60) kayoed sextet punters. Was a long afternoon overall, but both Sunday sequences offer redeeming opportunities with $116k in the HollyPark pot and $29k to start the bidding at Ozone Park.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$29k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #6 Superstitious Love 5-2 WON ($6.30)
Next Best: #7 Kiki Chacer 7-2 6th
Best Value: #4 White Glove 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Karma Police 12-1 2nd


5th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (G/S, P3, DD)

Don't know if this coming off theturf makes it any easier to decipher..

Most Likely: #15 Town Extension 7-2 5th
Best Value: #2 Gentleman's Honor 12-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Unitarian 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Black Onyx 12-1 WON ($30.40)


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Frivolity 2-1 WON ($3.70)
Best Value: #8 Dissension 6-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Girl Code 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Devil's Cave 8-1 5th


7th: NYSS, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Note that Frivolity above has potential to flatter P J's Superego here..

Most Likely: #4 P J's Superego 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Kelli Got Frosty 4-1 WON ($10.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Matchmadeinheaven 3-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Nonni Connie 7-2 3rd


8th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD)

Terriffic, well-matched group..

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Downtown Hottie 4-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Sally's Dream 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Sheza Heartbreaker 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Lady's Lunar Luck 15-1 WON ($19.60)


9th: NY-MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f

Most Likely: #4 Leilani's Ticket 7-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #7 Shadon 12-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Readthesmokesignal 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Cajun Best 30-1 9th


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 6-7
5: 2-15
6: 7-8
7: 1-3-4
8: 1-3-8
9: 4

2x2x2x3x3x1 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-4-7-8
7: 1-3-4
8: 1-2-3-8-9-11
9: 4-7

4x3x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (5,7/3/11/4) Paid $107.87



HOLLYWOOD PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: Cal-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

$116k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #6 Always a Chance 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Toomanytomatoes 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Stormin Cee's 4-1 2nd


5th: S/ALW, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Rock Off 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Chicsdigtheshark 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Baby Blake 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #8 In High Regards 8-1 8th


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Secret Motive 7-2 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #10 Topic 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Sharp Bella 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Having Abig Middle 15-1 2nd


7th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Idontrollonshabbos 7-2 5th
Next Best: #7 Run'n On Residuals 3-1 WON ($8.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Rich Kid 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Warren's Dr. Boo 15-1 7th


8th: 7th Sharp Cat, 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Scarlet Strike 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #7 Renee's Titan 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Rhodium 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Wittgenstein 6-1 5th


9th: MDN CLM, D&M-3+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Valeria 3-1 WON ($11.20)
Best Value: #12 Lily's Tiz 8-1 DH-5th
Next Best: #4 Tiz a Daisy 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 No Mistress 6-1 DH-5th
Hi-5 Play: #16 Can'tbeattheheat 10-1


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 4-6
5: 1-3
6: 1-5-10
7: 4-6-7
8: 1-7
9: 8

2x2x3x3x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-5-10
7: 4-6-7
8: 1-7
9: 4-6-8-12

3x3x2x4 = $72 ($1) or $36 for .50


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 11-11-2012 at 06:53 PM.
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Old 11-11-2012, 07:53 AM
Scav Scav is offline
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Nice to see you NOT use Ginny's Classic in the 8th today. She isn't going to make the first turn and considering her recent one turn form she could be one of the choices for people that don't dive into PP's.

Absolute nutcase of a filly.
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Old 11-11-2012, 10:22 AM
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AQU SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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Old 11-11-2012, 03:38 PM
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Steve Byk
 
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AQU WEDNESDAY $89k C/O
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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Old 11-11-2012, 04:56 PM
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Good grief. Rock Off much the best in the 5th. Pedroza buried him.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #6  
Old 11-11-2012, 05:23 PM
pucknut pucknut is offline
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Steve
Thanks for your insights on the 4th helped me cobble together a nice ticket and score
I left the 7 out which proved profitable
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Old 11-11-2012, 05:35 PM
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Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pucknut View Post
Steve
Thanks for your insights on the 4th helped me cobble together a nice ticket and score
I left the 7 out which proved profitable
Good work! Some nice things going on today. Have to finish though..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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Old 11-11-2012, 05:41 PM
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herkhorse herkhorse is offline
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Jeebus, nice work at the Big A Steve
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Old 11-11-2012, 06:58 PM
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Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by herkhorse View Post
Jeebus, nice work at the Big A Steve
THX Tom.. Fun day. Hope everyone did well.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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Old 11-13-2012, 03:37 PM
tanner12oz tanner12oz is offline
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good job getting your singles home...wish the rest would have fell into line
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  #11  
Old 11-14-2012, 05:24 AM
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Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tanner12oz View Post
good job getting your singles home...wish the rest would have fell into line
Thx Tanner.. The 2 AQU winners were certainly "C" types and tricky to reach on a modest budget. Andy felt Black Onyx was a particularly difficult winner. Lady's Lunar Luck did get a bit.

At HOL, the Proctor winner had to improve to win and Rock Off was obviously best in the 2nd leg. Of course if you hit at HollyPark it would have been tiny. Assuming Rock Off gets up, parlays were $3,725 with Renee's Titan and just $895 (!) with Scarlet Strike.

Take a swing at the Big A today!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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