Breeders Cup Friday Thoughts

[Indian Charlie]

Why was this moved to selections?

This is the Breeders Cup, not the 8th at Thistledown.

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie

Why was this moved to selections?

This is the Breeders Cup, not the 8th at Thistledown.

Yeah... Selections = I like the 2-1-3-6

[Indian Charlie]

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord

Yeah... Selections = I like the 2-1-3-6

Gosh, thanks for that. I wasn't aware that people were posting their actual selections when discussing who they like.

The point being that it's the Breeders Cup, there is a lot more to it than just saying 2-1-3-6.

That, and in previous years, BC selections were not immediately moved to the selections area. At least not your thoughts and selections, which I know are immensely popular on here.

People could easily miss these discussions.

[Calzone Lord]

You'd be surprised.

More people probably come here and read the selections than they do the posts.

[TheSpyder]

So who do you like in the 8th at Thisledowns?

Originally Posted by TheSpyder

So who do you like in the 8th at Thisledowns?

Yer fucl<in'- ay!!

That's tellin' the blowhards!



Give 'em steel.

[pmayjr]

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord

You'd be surprised.

More people probably come here and read the selections than they do the posts.

For what it's worth I barely ever come into the selections section of the board. I probably haven't looked in here since the BC last year. I'm too busy posting shitty covers of mediocre songs in eso central.

[tector]

Anybody who does not at least take Doug's insights into account is a fool. For example, I liked his point that in the Juvy turf fillies, all the previous 5 winners have exited a N. American race. Does that mean it will automatically be true this time? Of course not, but it should also give you pause about automatically accepting that the off-the-boat fillies are a cinch, which I think some people are inclined to do.

Thanks Doug.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by tector

Anybody who does not at least take Doug's insights into account is a fool. For example, I liked his point that in the Juvy turf fillies, all the previous 5 winners have exited a N. American race. Does that mean it will automatically be true this time? Of course not, but it should also give you pause about automatically accepting that the off-the-boat fillies are a cinch, which I think some people are inclined to do.

Thanks Doug.

Someone blindly accepting off the boat juve's that have never won a version of the race are deserving of what they get.

[Calzone Lord]

Saturday's Selections:


Undercard:

Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint: Race #2: I love Gabriel Charles in this spot. He would get my day started off in the right way as he is 20-to-1 on the morning line. Upward Spiral is the best of the Euro's.

Selections: 5-2

The Damascus: Race #3: I have no idea where Private Zone's huge performance came from last time out. He's 5-to-1 on the morning line -- and a repeat of it will win. I like Sir Bond underneath.

Selections: 5-7


The BC Juvie Turf: Noble Tune is the best of the American's -- but I prefer the Euro's. Especially George Vancouver.

Selections: 3-2-9-5

BC Filly and Mare Sprint: If Groupie Doll runs her race she wins easily. If she's going to X today, you'll know it pretty early in, and Dust and Diamonds would capitalize on an easy lead. Teddy's Promise is a good exotic use.

Selections: 9-1-3


BC Dirt Mile: This race is loaded with early speed and this would have been the logical and conservative spot to run Nonios.

I loved Shackleford's performance last out -- it was very impressive, but he will have to deal with a ton of pressure in here. Emcee is a question mark in a two-turn route, but his performance last time was sensational. And don't sleep on Fed Biz -- all of Bob Baffert's horses bombed at Hoosier Park last time out -- don't be surprised if you see a dramatic reversal in form with this horse.

However, the key to betting this race is singling John Scott underneath in the in the trifecta's and superfecta. This is another great backwheel single situation ala today's Distaff. John Scott had a lot go against him last time and this time he projects for a dream trip.


BC Turf Sprint:

Not going to waste a lot of ever so precious words typing on this race.

Selections: 10-9-2


BC Juvenile:

I just hope Power Broker is game enough to win a tight one. I think he's the best horse in here, Fortify has the advantage of all of those races without using lasix and he will get more pace to work with.

Selections: 9-8-3


BC Turf:

St Nicholas Abbey defends his championship. Point Of Entry is clearly the best of the Americans.

Selections: 3-1-5-12


BC Sprint: If Amazombie had an excuse last time out -- I sure as hell couldn't find it. Still, this is his home track, and all of his prior dirt form is good enough to win this race. He's clearly the most likely winner...but if he repeats his dull performance last time, he's getting nothing.

Trinniberg is adding the blinkers. He's going to be the early leader and if no one pesters him, he can be an elusive target. If he does get pressure, he will stop late.

I'm going to backwheel single Gantry in exotics. I like Gantry to finish 3rd or 4th.


Breeders Cup Mile: Mr Commons gets it done.


Breeders Cup Classic: Game on Dude actually might be the second most likely winner on this entire Breeders Cup Card. I like his dirt races every bit as much as his synthetic races. He got an important rider switch (a rare thing) last time and he's drawn ideally being outside of Fort Larned in a race that isn't exactly over flowing with pace.

Selections: 5-2-11

[Indian Charlie]

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord

Saturday's Selections:


Undercard:

Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint: Race #2: I love Gabriel Charles in this spot. He would get my day started off in the right way as he is 20-to-1 on the morning line. Upward Spiral is the best of the Euro's.

Selections: 5-2

The Damascus: Race #3: I have no idea where Private Zone's huge performance came from last time out. He's 5-to-1 on the morning line -- and a repeat of it will win. I like Sir Bond underneath.

Selections: 5-7


The BC Juvie Turf: Noble Tune is the best of the American's -- but I prefer the Euro's. Especially George Vancouver.

Selections: 3-2-9-5

BC Filly and Mare Sprint: If Groupie Doll runs her race she wins easily. If she's going to X today, you'll know it pretty early in, and Dust and Diamonds would capitalize on an easy lead. Teddy's Promise is a good exotic use.

Selections: 9-1-3


BC Dirt Mile: This race is loaded with early speed and this would have been the logical and conservative spot to run Nonios.

I loved Shackleford's performance last out -- it was very impressive, but he will have to deal with a ton of pressure in here. Emcee is a question mark in a two-turn route, but his performance last time was sensational. And don't sleep on Fed Biz -- all of Bob Baffert's horses bombed at Hoosier Park last time out -- don't be surprised if you see a dramatic reversal in form with this horse.

However, the key to betting this race is singling John Scott underneath in the in the trifecta's and superfecta. This is another great backwheel single situation ala today's Distaff. John Scott had a lot go against him last time and this time he projects for a dream trip.


BC Turf Sprint:

Not going to waste a lot of ever so precious words typing on this race.

Selections: 10-9-2


BC Juvenile:

I just hope Power Broker is game enough to win a tight one. I think he's the best horse in here, Fortify has the advantage of all of those races without using lasix and he will get more pace to work with.

Selections: 9-8-3


BC Turf:

St Nicholas Abbey defends his championship. Point Of Entry is clearly the best of the Americans.

Selections: 3-1-5-12


BC Sprint: If Amazombie had an excuse last time out -- I sure as hell couldn't find it. Still, this is his home track, and all of his prior dirt form is good enough to win this race. He's clearly the most likely winner...but if he repeats his dull performance last time, he's getting nothing.

Trinniberg is adding the blinkers. He's going to be the early leader and if no one pesters him, he can be an elusive target. If he does get pressure, he will stop late.

I'm going to backwheel single Gantry in exotics. I like Gantry to finish 3rd or 4th.


Breeders Cup Mile: Mr Commons gets it done.


Breeders Cup Classic: Game on Dude actually might be the second most likely winner on this entire Breeders Cup Card. I like his dirt races every bit as much as his synthetic races. He got an important rider switch (a rare thing) last time and he's drawn ideally being outside of Fort Larned in a race that isn't exactly over flowing with pace.

Selections: 5-2-11

Mr. Commons? Really?

Care to elaborate on that one?