Most Likely BC Winner

[Calzone Lord]

I'd also assign Groupie Doll the highest probability of winning of any horse over the two days.

If she holds form, she's going to win.

She's had an injury earlier in the season and she's shipping to So. Cal from the Midwest for a guy who hasn't made that ship much if at all.

She's not the most likely horse to finish in the top 3 or top 4 on the 2-day event, but she is to win.

That was always the biggest deal in fantasy contests. You'd focus on most likely to finish top 3 instead of most likely to win and you'd always have more points by the end of the year.

Groupie Doll should win, but she can also bomb.