Attempt to pick 1,000 straight horses who fail to win

[Calzone Lord]

Bums for Sunday:

Canterbury Park: Race #1: Sammy Ray

Canterbury Park: Race #8: Orfan Ole

Del Mar Race #4: Undaunted Rally

Ellis Park Race #3: Go for Four Buddy

Ellis Park Race #6: Jennifer Ashton (Turf Only)

Emerald Downs Race #8: Jump Up and Kissme

Emerald Downs Race #9: Sharp Focus

Golden Gate: Race #5: Tiz Savy

Louisiana Downs Race #7: Wiggly

River Downs Race #8: Jaf

Saratoga Race #2: Tootsie's Girl

Saratoga Race #3: Harry Consolidator

Saratoga Race #7: Sucre and Rachini

Woodbine Race #2: Osculator

Woodbine Race #9: Real Hero

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord

Bums for Sunday:

Canterbury Park: Race #1: Sammy Ray

Canterbury Park: Race #8: Orfan Ole

Del Mar Race #4: Undaunted Rally

Ellis Park Race #3: Go for Four Buddy

Ellis Park Race #6: Jennifer Ashton (Turf Only)

Emerald Downs Race #8: Jump Up and Kissme

Emerald Downs Race #9: Sharp Focus

Golden Gate: Race #5: Tiz Savy

Louisiana Downs Race #7: Wiggly

River Downs Race #8: Jaf

Saratoga Race #2: Tootsie's Girl

Saratoga Race #3: Harry Consolidator

Saratoga Race #7: Sucre and Rachini

Woodbine Race #2: Osculator

Woodbine Race #9: Real Hero

12 of them ran -- and all 12 of them got buried. One of them, even finished 5th in a field of 5.


124 down, only 876 more to go.

[ranger5830]

This was really a banner weekend for the bums, as Sunday alone they accounted for $22,006 in failed win wagers, bringing the grand total to $120,277. That's enough to buy a decent house in large portions of the country. Just this weekend $51,652 was wasted, or enough to buy a new Mercedes.

[pweizer]

This is a really fascinating and entertaining thread. But, Doug--my main question is how can you follow so many tracks at one time and still have conviction in your opinions?

Your ability to do that alone makes you one of the greatest handicappers I know.

Paul

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by pweizer

This is a really fascinating and entertaining thread. But, Doug--my main question is how can you follow so many tracks at one time and still have conviction in your opinions?

Your ability to do that alone makes you one of the greatest handicappers I know.

I've been working with CJ (cmorioles) the last few months in making performance figures for horses with him. Maybe I'm a little biased, but the CJ Performance figure and his pace figures are way better than Beyers, TG, Ragozin, and they aren't publicly available either.

Between the two of us, we make figures for every track in the country, so at a glance I can pull up every race in the country and look for spots where real handicaping appears worthwhile.

The rest is obviously all handicapping...and I still do have a trip note collection of future bet backs that has always been my bread and butter.

For this task, I'm simply using the CJ figures -- finding the least competitive horses -- and studying the past performances to make sure there are no angles I can see that should give a horse a chance to improve and win.

[Sightseek]

What happened to those great videos you were doing?

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

What happened to those great videos you were doing?

I just couldn't find the time to keep them up.

The one trip handicapping video I did where I took one-horse from each circuit as a bet-back for next time -- 3 of the 7 in the video won their next start (one of them by 8+ lengths at 30/1 odds) and even a few of the ones who didn't win their next start improved by a lot.

That's really my strongest advantage as a handicapper -- is to isolate the right kind of race to watch, watch it, and find the right horse to play back next time.