8/1 (SAR): $239k C/O -- Discussion/Contest

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by GPK

I think that race is very wide open. Any number of them can win, IMO.

Originally Posted by lemoncrush

So Scotty is my pick in the race, but would like opinions on the 1, Gimme Credit. Chad Brown claims a 9-year old gelding and then waits 2 months to bring him back at the same level. His races last spring in 2011 at Belmont would crush these, but i don't know If he's capable of those efforts again. Would love to just cover the 3 and 9 here.

Ampersand is very much the horse to beat. He only beat Modern Child by a length in that last race, but the gulf between the two efforts was way bigger. Ampersand was the only horse to close any ground in the stretch and was completely up against it from a pace standpoint. My main concern is he looks like he has a little hang in him, as he had every chance to pass the winner in his last two and couldn't do it either time. Gimme Credit is clearly not the horse he once was, but it's not like his recent races are awful. Toss the turf sprint since that's clearly not his game and he fits with these. The way Chad Brown is going, I wouldn't question any move he makes. For me it's the 3 as an A and the 1 and 4 as B's.

[pointman]

I like Dr. Disco who is working like he is going to fire a big one to have a shot at a big price to upset the Morrissey.

[Dahoss]

I can't add anything to what Ateam said about Girluphigh, because I like her also. But I am going to be keeping an eye on how Zazz runs because I am interested in her when she gets to the turf.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

Ampersand is very much the horse to beat. He only beat Modern Child by a length in that last race, but the gulf between the two efforts was way bigger. Ampersand was the only horse to close any ground in the stretch and was completely up against it from a pace standpoint. My main concern is he looks like he has a little hang in him, as he had every chance to pass the winner in his last two and couldn't do it either time. Gimme Credit is clearly not the horse he once was, but it's not like his recent races are awful. Toss the turf sprint since that's clearly not his game and he fits with these. The way Chad Brown is going, I wouldn't question any move he makes. For me it's the 3 as an A and the 1 and 4 as B's.

he does cut back to a mile witch hes never won at..i think he loses by not closing fast enough.

[asudevil]

To me it seems like the first and last legs are by far the most challenging. How much credence do you all put into the odds board, before the 5th, when constructing your tickets?

[ADJMK]

Originally Posted by asudevil

To me it seems like the first and last legs are by far the most challenging. How much credence do you all put into the odds board, before the 5th, when constructing your tickets?

Board is going to be very important to see how alive any of the firsters are.Pletcher is going to get bet but am wary of the light worktab. Leaning to the Goldberg but am concerned that the Bris form shows he is only 6% out of 53 2nd career starters.

[asudevil]

I'm intrigued by Zazz....Homebred...I believe Tapit has had several baby winners lately...could be wrong.....I also like Matz win % and ROI with 2yo. No question that the Pletcher runner opens up at 6/5.