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  #1  
Old 06-06-2012, 07:01 AM
pucknut pucknut is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Shackleford and Mucho Macho Man were empty for Belmont last year, but it's hard to condemn Animal Kingdom given the mugging.

First Dude -- 3rd in Preakness -- was 3rd in '10 Belmont, beaten less than a length.

Mine That Bird's '09 Belmont was doomed by Borel, but there was certainly nothing wrong with his effort post Derby-Preakness.

Horses exiting Preakness in the Belmont since '02: 24/1-4-3
Horses exiting 1-2-3 Preakness finish since '02: 16/1-3-3
Steve nice analysis of the belmont in the xpressbet feature
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  #2  
Old 06-06-2012, 09:28 AM
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slotdirt slotdirt is offline
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Great stats, Steve. Wondering what the record in that time of Derby runners skipping the Preakness is. Just off the top of my noodle, there's Empire Maker, Birdstone, Jazil, and Summer Bird, and Rags to Riches should half count. Even in the years where there were big upsetters since Point Given in '01 (i.e., Da'Tara, Ruler on Ice), horses like Denis of Cork, Bluegrass Cat, Dunkirk, and Stay Thirsty have gone Derby-Preakness and run second.
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  #3  
Old 06-06-2012, 10:03 AM
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declansharbor declansharbor is offline
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If you want your horse on or near the lead, you would want JVR over Frenchy, correct? I could be wrong.
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  #4  
Old 06-06-2012, 10:09 AM
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Dylan Burke Dylan Burke is offline
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I'm taking Union Rags mainly because of JV getting the mount. No one knows his way around Belmont better than him, and I think he'll have him in a good spot throughout.
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  #5  
Old 06-06-2012, 10:39 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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Originally Posted by declansharbor View Post
If you want your horse on or near the lead, you would want JVR over Frenchy, correct? I could be wrong.
I'd rather have Johnny V over Leparoux on any kind of horse, but especially a horse that has early speed.
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  #6  
Old 06-06-2012, 08:12 PM
pba1817 pba1817 is offline
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UPDZSy0MJrA

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I'd rather have Johnny V over Leparoux on any kind of horse, but especially a horse that has early speed.
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  #7  
Old 06-06-2012, 09:22 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
I'd rather have Johnny V over Leparoux on any kind of horse, but especially a horse that has early speed.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dylan Burke View Post
I'm taking Union Rags mainly because of JV getting the mount. No one knows his way around Belmont better than him, and I think he'll have him in a good spot throughout.
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Originally Posted by declansharbor View Post
If you want your horse on or near the lead, you would want JVR over Frenchy, correct? I could be wrong.
If you're on the Union Rags bandwagon, don't miss the archived Hour 1 today for Johnny's extensive comments on him (followed by Angel Cordero's thoughts and Steve Davidowitz' as well). Plus, Johnny relives Rags to Riches' 2007 Belmont win.

DIRECT LINK: http://tinyurl.com/7ajvamb

NOTEWORTHY: Velazquez 6/1-3-1 in Belmont since '06 with problematic Animal Kingdom journey the lone off-board experience...
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  #8  
Old 06-06-2012, 10:41 PM
Merlinsky Merlinsky is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
If you're on the Union Rags bandwagon, don't miss the archived Hour 1 today for Johnny's extensive comments on him (followed by Angel Cordero's thoughts and Steve Davidowitz' as well). Plus, Johnny relives Rags to Riches' 2007 Belmont win.

DIRECT LINK: http://tinyurl.com/7ajvamb

NOTEWORTHY: Velazquez 6/1-3-1 in Belmont since '06 with problematic Animal Kingdom journey the lone off-board experience...
Union Rags is definitely a horse with talent and charisma. I'm torn between wanting him to manifest everything I think he's capable of and, well you know, not wanting him to do it this particular race. Haskin's right, that Champagne indicates so much of what he can do.

If he (or anybody else) puts it together, I hope that I'll Have Another's just that much better on the day (sometimes there's a difference between losing and not happening to win the race but putting in an effort that might've on any other day). The sport and the fans win if we get a Triple Crown or even a denied Crown and everybody brings their A game and goes home safe and sound. We don't get saved by a TC. We get saved when more people understand what they can see and feel in a horse race. Races like Curlin/Rags in the Belmont do that, and with history on the line, that many more people have the opportunity to feel the rush, whatever the outcome. Having my druthers, I'd like to cry like a big baby for a Triple Crown winner. Definitely won't bother trying to rein it in if that happens.
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  #9  
Old 06-06-2012, 09:05 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by slotdirt View Post
Great stats, Steve. Wondering what the record in that time of Derby runners skipping the Preakness is. Just off the top of my noodle, there's Empire Maker, Birdstone, Jazil, and Summer Bird, and Rags to Riches should half count. Even in the years where there were big upsetters since Point Given in '01 (i.e., Da'Tara, Ruler on Ice), horses like Denis of Cork, Bluegrass Cat, Dunkirk, and Stay Thirsty have gone Derby-Preakness and run second.
Andromeda's Hero skipped and was the distant 2nd to Afleet Alex in '05...

Other Preakness skippers include:

Master of Hounds, Santiva, Nehro, Brilliant Speed last year;
Stately Victor, Ice Box, Make Music for Me in '10;
Mr. Hot Stuff, Chocolate Candy in '09;
Tale of Ekati, Anak Nakal in '08;
I'mawildandcrazyguy, Tiago in '07
Deputy Glitters, Bob and John, Steppenwolfer in '06
Perfect Drift in '02
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Last edited by Kasept : 06-06-2012 at 09:25 PM.
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  #10  
Old 06-06-2012, 09:09 PM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
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remember when a hero came back at toga . 3/5 broke frome the gate and stopped..arggg.. you have alink to the express bet write up steve?
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  #11  
Old 06-06-2012, 09:34 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead View Post
remember when a hero came back at toga . 3/5 broke frome the gate and stopped..arggg.. you have alink to the express bet write up steve?
Remember was well beaten by Flower Alley in the Jim Dandy & Travers.. The only graded stake he ever won was the Fred Hooper. I remember him being in Brass Hat's Donn.

XpressBet Belmont Wagering Guide: http://www.xpressbet.com/BSWG2012
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #12  
Old 06-06-2012, 08:53 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pucknut View Post
Steve nice analysis of the belmont in the xpressbet feature
Thx.. Was certainly disappointed by Alpha coming out as I was gearing towards him. Will get an update filed tomorrow.
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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