5/19 (PIM): 137th Preakness S. (G1), 6 Undercard Stakes

[PatCummings]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

puck - I think the opening line is a little overblown - bodie and IHA will share favoritism at 2-1, CC will be a close 2nd at 5-2 and Went the Day Well will be 5-1 by post in my opinion. And finish close to that. Another short priced Preakness I'm afraid. Daddy Nose Best may well get a pace if the send IHA to press Bodie, but I'm all over CC here, post=position+pace= (but judging by my what is left of my KY Derby bankroll, don't put any real stock in that opinion )

If Bodemeister and I Have Another are both 2-1, CC is 5-2, and WTDW is 5-1...then the rest of the field, if all the same price, would be about 65-1 each. If anyone is lower than 65-1, then the price on the others would be even more astronomical. Really don't see that happening.

Agree with you on Creative Cause.

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by PatCummings

If Bodemeister and I Have Another are both 2-1, CC is 5-2, and WTDW is 5-1...then the rest of the field, if all the same price, would be about 65-1 each. If anyone is lower than 65-1, then the price on the others would be even more astronomical. Really don't see that happening.

Agree with you on Creative Cause.

That is exactly right. Those odds don't add up. You can't have two 2-1 shots, a 5-2 shot, and a 5-1 in an 11 horse field unless every other horse is 80-1.

I think Bodemeister will be 8-5, I'll Have Another will be 3-1, Creative Cause will be 5-1, and WTDW will be 8-1.