Excellent article on declining Beyer's of 3yo's

[Ogygian]

I have had the "Declining Beyer" conversation with Doud a few times...I told him last year the days of the 120 Beyers are gone, and I believe only Quality Road hit that last year, with very few even making it over 115. Now I'm no expert, but could it be possible that the "lower level" horses are getting better or faster??? The same 10K claimer today might be a better quality horse then 15 years ago...
Here is my logic...I had asked Doug why QR didn't have a huge beyer the day of his 6.5 1:14 and change race at Saratoga...his response...because the claimers 3 races earlier went 1:09 (Those arent exacts but close enough)...I believe Beyer needs to update his formula...
I find it odd the the Beyer number keeps getting lower and lower each year...at this pace, I wouldn't be shocked if in a few years 110 is the highest and horses going into the Derby are lucky to hit 95's