5/5 (CD): 138th Kentucky Derby (G1), 5 Undercard Stakes

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord

I basically just prefer other horses a little more.

Pletcher horses always run gangbusters at the start of the new calender year ... they normally peak within the first 3 starts of the season -- and often have peaked by the second start.

Gemologist is a nice horse -- and I like that he's only had 2 races this year -- but he will need further improvment and from a bettting value standpoint...this is the time of the year when it's becoming safest to play against Pletcher horses.

that is my only knock on the horse. but that's a pretty big knock i think. thanks.

[hockey2315]

A la Drugs, if anyone's interested, Derby analysis here: http://thetdnblog.blogspot.com/2012/...eat-sheet.html

and here (with undercard): http://thetdnblog.blogspot.com/2012/...-analysis.html

[declansharbor]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

A la Drugs, if anyone's interested, Derby analysis here: http://thetdnblog.blogspot.com/2012/...eat-sheet.html

and here (with undercard): http://thetdnblog.blogspot.com/2012/...-analysis.html

Read the Oaks write-up earlier. Good stuff and good luck at the "windows" this wkend.

[slotdirt]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

A la Drugs, if anyone's interested, Derby analysis here: http://thetdnblog.blogspot.com/2012/...eat-sheet.html

and here (with undercard): http://thetdnblog.blogspot.com/2012/...-analysis.html

Respect the pick, and you seem to have put a lot of thought into it. Takes some nads to go out on a limb on a 50-1 shot.

[MaTH716]

Originally Posted by slotdirt

Respect the pick, and you seem to have put a lot of thought into it. Takes some nads to go out on a limb on a 50-1 shot.

Good stuff Bri, good luck!

[slotdirt]

I'm in the Done Talking camp as well. I still believe that this race is going to set up for an off-the-pace type, and as hockey noted in his TDN comments, the horse has the right running style and experience navigating a large field to thrive in that kind of race. The question will be whether he's the right off-the-pace type.

[hockey2315]

Thanks guys. . . hearing less-than-positive stuff about Creative Cause.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Thanks guys. . . hearing less-than-positive stuff about Creative Cause.

He finishes in the Super and I lose had to take a stand and he and Hansen got the boot.

[slotdirt]

Well, it's a known fact that he had to have some hoof work done after he was shipped to Kentucky. I can understand the sentiment.

[Sightseek]

A Lukas victory on Derby day! (and CNak gets tossed on the way home!)