Betting the KY Derby

[Port Conway Lane]

Originally Posted by PatCummings

Think that's the wrong Daddy to use...

More so, anyway you look at it the tri will be juicier than the exacta. This race plays very true to payout expectations underneath, so if you really REALLY like Alpha - go Alpha / ________whomever/ ALL and don't let yourself get crushed by leaving out the wrong bomb. If a fave comes in, it's still going to pay great underneath with Alpha on top.

If a favorite finishes 3rd it will still pay great but not as much as an $18 exacta would have paid. No matter who is on top the trifecta comparison to the exacta is always determined by the 3rd place finisher.

Your call for sure.. but I tend to shy away from Derby horses whose plans unraveled due to a set back. No workouts at CD is big negative and really feel he is just to slow to put on top. Breeding however is one of or "is" the best of this group to tackle this Classic.

Scat

[Thunder Gulch]

Depends on who else you like. If you're stabbing at the other bombs, wheel up and down with Alpha. If you like the chalk, play Alpha straight.

[tywizard]

I would argue that any exotic bet that doesnt include union rags or bodemiester and does include alpha will pay rather nicely.