With 12 days to go who...

Can a horse who has shown early speed (Trinniberg) in the past, be dropped way back early and make one giant run the last 3-4 furloungs?

Everyone is expecting trinniberg to be sent early and die at the quarter pole, especially with other front runners in the field. Why wouldnt the trainer change tactics with him? The trainer is underrated and has done well with few horses he has had in his stable in the past.