2012 Triple Crown Trail: 11 try to deny I'll Have Another

[tjfla]

Originally Posted by cal828

Daddy Nose Best?

Ya same here,which sucks cause was hoping he would be the BOMB(25/1 or so) on the exotics

[justindew]

Originally Posted by tjfla

Ya same here,which sucks cause was hoping he would be the BOMB(25/1 or so) on the exotics

I feel like the trend in recent years has been for the odds climbing on the favorites, and dropping on everyone else. That's why I'm seeing a post time favorite in the 7-1 range, with horses like Daddy Nose Best, El Padrino, and Mark Valeski landing in the 20-1 to 25-1 range. Although I have a bad feeling we'll see something in the teens for Daddy Nose Best.

[tjfla]

No clue how reliable this source is but looks like Rousing Sermon is IN

http://voices.idahostatesman.com/201...kentucky_derby

[Travis Stone]

Originally Posted by justindew

Although I have a bad feeling we'll see something in the teens for Daddy Nose Best.

The teens in this year's Derby could possibly be the 10th pick though.

[cal828]

Originally Posted by justindew

I feel like the trend in recent years has been for the odds climbing on the favorites, and dropping on everyone else. That's why I'm seeing a post time favorite in the 7-1 range, with horses like Daddy Nose Best, El Padrino, and Mark Valeski landing in the 20-1 to 25-1 range. Although I have a bad feeling we'll see something in the teens for Daddy Nose Best.

Can't really see the post time favorite being as high as 7-1 in a year in which there has really been only one blow out win. I don't think the first time or occasional bettors and probably a good segment of seasoned handicappers will be able to get past the 9 and half length win and the 108 beyer.