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#23
04-15-2012, 01:56 PM
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Thanks, br.
One player was eliminated yesterday (4th by a sure-to-be-aggravating head), leaving 15 of us. Today's Day 27! There are just 5 more days of the meet. My tiebreaker best-show-payoff isn't totally hopeless, but it's not all that huge either. Was going to pass on Baffert's 1-1 fav in the 8th because I hate taking a horse that hasn't run in 6 months. But a scratch reduced the race to 4 horses, and Baffert HAS won 40% of his last 50 entries with more than a 180 day layoff, AND the horse has been working like gangbusters. If Contested finishes last and I'm eliminated, I'm guessing that at least 10 of the other 14 players will go out with me. A smart play might be to pick another good horse today, like Palio Prince in the 3rd or Call Me Lucy in the 4th, hoping for Contested to lose and eliminate almost everyone. I've got 20 minutes to change my mind and do that! --Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson 
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