4/7 (AQU): Wood, Carter (G1's), Comely, Bay Shore (G3's)

[jms62]

17 Possible for the Illinois at 500K yet only 8 for the wood at a Million. I don't get it.

[RolloTomasi]

Originally Posted by jms62

17 Possible for the Illinois at 500K yet only 8 for the wood at a Million. I don't get it.

It's better that way.

Splitting up the no-hopers only maximizes the chances of one of them slipping through the cracks.

We already have Delta Downs and Sunland Park providing those types outright.

[FATPIANO]

gemologist---------undefeated Triple Crown Winner 2012

[dpkovalesky]

Millionreasonswhy looks pretty tough in the Comely

[goodcopy]

Originally Posted by FATPIANO

gemologist---------undefeated Triple Crown Winner 2012

This colt has all the potential,the breeding and the connections to do it at a decent price and long odds in Vegas to win the triple crown

[my miss storm cat]

Originally Posted by FATPIANO

gemologist---------undefeated Triple Crown Winner 2012

I like him a lot (Street LIfe too) and would be thrilled if you were right but as far as this race I think I'm using The Lumber Guy in the top spot for an upset (and due to possible insanity. Who knows).

(Or maybe it's homage to Pavo who I would have bet my life on in the Bellamy Road Wood).


edit - I thought this was kinda fun...

Fun facts about the kids in the Wood.

http://www.kentuckyderby.com/news/20...orial-entrants

[Conrad]

I use BRIS pp's but I am interested to know what the Beyer fig was for the BroadBrush Stks at Aqu on Mar 17.
I have that race as being pretty slow, but BRIS has it rated much faster than me. Curious to see where Beyer has it rated.
At this point I can't use this colt, even if he is a very strong late runner.
Just looks too slow, esp if my number is more accurate than BRIS'.

[Conrad]

Disregard previous post.
I had mistakenly recorded the race as being way slower than it actually was, thus the low fig.

All better now

[letswastemoney]

Originally Posted by Conrad

I use BRIS pp's but I am interested to know what the Beyer fig was for the BroadBrush Stks at Aqu on Mar 17.
I have that race as being pretty slow, but BRIS has it rated much faster than me. Curious to see where Beyer has it rated.
At this point I can't use this colt, even if he is a very strong late runner.
Just looks too slow, esp if my number is more accurate than BRIS'.

The pace was so slow in that race, does it matter what the final speed figure was?

[Conrad]

Originally Posted by letswastemoney

The pace was so slow in that race, does it matter what the final speed figure was?

It matters if a horse (Street Life) came rolling home behind that slow pace, making up 5.5 lengths in the stretch and earning a decent fig while passing almost the whole field.
That field held a tactical advantage over Street Life by virtue of being in front through very slow splits, but he ran over them anyway.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi

It's better that way.

Splitting up the no-hopers only maximizes the chances of one of them slipping through the cracks.

We already have Delta Downs and Sunland Park providing those types outright.

You're right from a racing perspective. Im looking at it from an exotic bettors perspective.