Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord
These are lightly raced 3-year-olds ... 12 horses in this race made their previous start on a dirt surface ... and all 12 of them went backwards on Beyers from their last start.
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This is something I look back on when handicapping key races. What did the entire field do in comparison to their recent form. When you see stuff that doesn't add up, like all these going backwards in one of the biggest races of their short careers, it is virtually impossible.
Another thing I see often is horses who run their career high fig in a losing effort. What I have noticed is more times than not this means the race was too highly rated and these horses will bounce.
03-04-2012, 02:16 AM
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