Possible new handicaping show

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by joeydb

Great job Doug. I'd definitely watch and "youtube subscribe" to your channel.

I did have a couple of questions:

1) Do you find the presence of a speed duel to be reliably predictable before the race?

2) When you say efficiency in your analysis, do you mean from a Brohamer percent energy usage point of view, saving ground in the run, both, or neither?

I think your analysis has some real value and I'm just trying to see how I would use it in my own approach to the race, before it is run of course.

Again, awesome idea and great format. I love how you showed all the data you were referring to and formatted it for easy viewing, along with the run itself since I am not much of a trip handicapper on my own.

Joe

Doug will have a much better answer for you... But do you follow Aqueduct? I have been betting Aqueduct almost daily and its getting really frustrating. On paper you have anywhere from 3-5 speeds, and 1 horse gets a soft lead. Its been going on all winter. So for question #1 I would say its almost impossible to predict it. What looks like a collapse on paper, a lot of times turns into a 1 speed number around the track.

[joeydb]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Doug will have a much better answer for you... But do you follow Aqueduct? I have been betting Aqueduct almost daily and its getting really frustrating. On paper you have anywhere from 3-5 speeds, and 1 horse gets a soft lead. Its been going on all winter. So for question #1 I would say its almost impossible to predict it. What looks like a collapse on paper, a lot of times turns into a 1 speed number around the track.

No, I am a casual player - I am sporadic in my attendance and play, but I do keep as many records as I can. I tend to use numerical tools more than anything else, hoping I can "tune" them for better accuracy but at least they will be consistent.

I was wondering if it even possible to have a loose predictor of the speed duel - nothing is perfect of course.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

thread jack..

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead

thread jack..

Question 1. Look at it, and tell me where I went off topic. I def. would like a response. Thanks.

Sometimes I want my fries fresh off the grill but then I get them and they're soggy.

[dagolfer33]

Doug, can you do a video showing us how to make a cake like that? Maybe add some some hawt half-naked chicks and call it "Cake Whores."

[joeydb]

Originally Posted by dagolfer33

Doug, can you do a video showing us how to make a cake like that? Maybe add some some hawt half-naked chicks and call it "Cake Whores."

LOL... now is THAT a thread jack?

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by dagolfer33

Doug, can you do a video showing us how to make a cake like that? Maybe add some some hawt half-naked chicks and call it "Cake Whores."

I couldn't believe how good tasting that cake turned out. But, I'll leave the baking videos to people who cook.

I don't cook.

My girlfriend loves to see the human being side of me...so I thought it would be a great idea to bake her birthday cake myself while she watched me stumble and bumble like a fucl< up trying to make it.

I broke two eggs on her kitchen floor ... so she had to jump in and handle breaking the eggs and putting them in with the batter... but everything else was me.

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by joeydb

No, I am a casual player - I am sporadic in my attendance and play, but I do keep as many records as I can. I tend to use numerical tools more than anything else, hoping I can "tune" them for better accuracy but at least they will be consistent.

I was wondering if it even possible to have a loose predictor of the speed duel - nothing is perfect of course.

On paper, its very easy to predict. But then when the gate opens, it does not always turn out that way. Thats what makes this game so challenging.