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#1
02-04-2012, 03:53 AM
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2/4: Aqueduct ($99k C/O); Santa Anita ($65k C/O)
AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES 4th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Race to watch with any number of nicely-bred, lightly-raced and well-matched 3yo's. Inflation Target is a half to the fast Rattlesnake Bridge and firster Luckysdream a half to Mrs. Weber's turf routing MSW My Lordship. Ashado son Steele Road and Inflation Target were close behind next out LRL stake winner Beggarthyneighbor and Wild Target ran into tough Hardened Wildcat in his debut. Mr. Ast moves to Levine and gets Ramon. Excellent group, many of which might normally have gone to Florida for the winter if not for the NY purse boost.. Most Likely: #4 Steele Road 9-5 5th Best Value: #2 Wild Target 5-1 2nd Next Best: #5 Inflation Target 8-5 WON ($4.20) Exotics Use: #3 Mr. Beer Goggles 6-1 4th 5th: NY-MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super) $99k Double C/O starts here.. Most Likely: #7 Hook and Lateral 8-5 2nd Next Best: #4 Digital Joe 2-1 WON ($6.20) Exotics Use: #1 Mr. Rosenthal 7-2 3rd Super Add: #5 S. Z. Madison 12-1 4th 6th: 73rd Correction, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Nicole H 6-5 WON ($3.00) Best Value: #7 Winning Image 4-1 6th Next Best: #6 Golden Mystery 7-2 4th Exotics Use: #4 Streaker 5-1 5th 7th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD, Super) Start of the P4 so watch the board for some clues to this tricky group of Empire colts and geldings. There are angles galore here with several 2nd timers from sharp outfits stretching out (Pearl of Wisdom, Fr. Peter's Missal, Wistful Wildcat, Rkatsiteli) and jockey upgrades like Dominguez getting on Zetterholm.. Most Likely: #1 Pearl of Wisdom 9-5 2nd Best Value: #9 Rkatsiteli 8-1 9th Next Best: #4 Wistful Wildcat 5-1 3rd Exotics Use: #5 Zetterholm 3-1 WON ($5.90) 8th: 119th Toboggan (G3), 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Good edition of this great old standard which dates back to late 19th Century Bronx oval Morris Park. Defending winner #1a Calibrachoa figures tough again and would join impressive list of back-to-back winners of this famed event that includes Al Fried's Affirmed Success (2002-03), Rippey (1948-49), Greentree's Devil Diver (1943-44), Geo. Widener's Hall of Famer Eight Thirty (1940-41), Brookmeade's Okapi (1933-34), J. E. Widener's Osmand (1928-29), High Noon (1915-16) and Augie Belmont's Octagon (1897-98). Tony Dutrow portion of Dubb ownership entry (#2b Candyman E) is in career best form and merits serious consideration on your multi tickets.. SCR #6 J J's Luck Train.. Most Likely: #2b (POE) Calibrachoa 7-5 WON ($2.90)/3rd Next Best: #1a (POE) Candyman E 9-5 4th/5th 9th: 132nd Withers (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super) Long a late season sophomore staple, The Withers is cleverly being revitalized here to add a second graded event, with next month's Gotham, to the run up toward the Wood Memorial. Alpha seeks to become Kiaran McLaughlin's third Withers winner (Divine Park, Mr. Fantasy) off a strong showing in the Count Fleet to start his 3yo campaign. Bernardini homebred from Darley has had well-publicized deportment issues pre-race, but otherwise looks exceedingly formidable against solid but undistinguished set of foes.. SCR #3 Swag Daddy.. Most Likely: #7 Alpha 1-1 WON ($2.70) Next Best: #4 King Kid 4-1 5th Exotics Use: #6 Tiger Walk 6-1 3rd 10th: CLM, 4+, 6f (Super) Most Likely: #10 Late SCR Next Best: #8 Keechi Bullet 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Hopeful Boy 3-1 8th Super Add: #7 Jitalian 12-1 4th <$200 P6 Play: 5: 1-4-7 6: 1-7 7: 1-4-5-8-9 8: 2 9: 7 10: 5-8-10 3x2x5x1x1x3 = 90 x $2 = $180 $2 Pick 6 (4/1/5/2,6/3,7/3) Paid $12.80 (5OF6) x 3 = $38.40 $50/$25 P4 Plays: 7: 1-4-5-8-9 8: 1-2 9: 7 10: 2-5-7-8-10 5x2x1x5 = $50 ($25 for .50) TAMPA BAY DOWNS POST-SCRATCHES 11th: Sam F. Davis (G3) 3yo, 8.5f Tampa prep regularly quirky. Don't want any part of low number on Team Valor turf horse State of Play and only including Eckabroni defensively with Pletcher horses in Florida performing over the top. Battle Hardened and Prospective are the two most serious horses in the field and are well-priced. Neck 'n Neck is steadily improving for Wilkes. Will likely have GP Derby winner Reveron 3rd on my exotic tickets with top pair.. Best Value: #3 Battle Hardened 12-1 WON ($11.00) Next Best: #11 Prospective 6-1 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Eckabroni 7-2 11th Super Add: #6 Neck 'n Neck 5-1 5th SANTA ANITA POST-SCRATCHES 1st: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P5, Place Pick All, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Mile High Magic 5-2 2nd Best Value: #6 Late SCR Exotics Use: #7 Eaton Hall 7-2 4th Super Add: #8 Immaculate 12-1 WON ($19.40) 2nd: CLM-$12.5k/N2L, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Seek the Light 4-1 4th Best Value: #10 Warren's Patron 12-1 2nd Next Best: #6 Me Salty 9-2 WON ($10.00) Exotics Use: #8 Jeffery's Groove 8-1 13th 3rd: 53rd Arcadia (G2), 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super) Hard to envision Mr. Commons being bested here.. Most Likely: #8 Mr. Commons 1-1 WON ($2.80) Best Value: #6 Willyconker 8-1 2nd Next Best: #4 Calimonico 8-1 4th Exotics Use: #2 Pathfork 5-2 6th 4th: Cal-MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #10 Jonny's Choice 5-2 2nd Next Best: #5 Real Conundrum 7-2 WON ($8.20) Exotics Use: #7 Good Luck Redd 6-1 6th Super Add: #1 Gifted Monarch 12-1 5th 5th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) $65k P6 C/O starts here.. Nothing clever to impart with obvious set of faves just appearing to have edge.. Best Value: #7 Mirror Ball 9-2 10th Next Best: #10 Miss Communication 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Belle Passe 5-2 WON ($10.40) Super Add: #1 Ramona's Ride 8-1 9th <$75 P5 Play: 1: 5-6 2: 2-3-6-7-8-10 3: 8 4: 5-7-10 5: 1-2-7-10 2x6x1x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 6th: 74th Robert B. Lewis (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super) Strong set of sophs for this lead up to the San Felipe and Santa Anita Derby with top runners from the HOL Futurity and more. Beyond the obvious, Isn't He Clever's stretchout off Riley Allison demolition is worth following and supporting. Development of Royal Delta brother Empire Way another sub-plot here and binocular set says he 's still kind of torpid.. Best Value: #1 Isn't He Clever 6-1 4th Next Best: #6 Rousing Sermon 5-2 3rd Exotics Use: #2 Liason 9-5 DNF-Lost rider Super Add: #5 Sky Kingdom 6-1 5th 7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Very good, deep ALW going 9 panels on the lawn.. Best Value: #1 Truism 6-1 9th Next Best: #12 Unusual Jazz 8-1 8th Exotics Use: #11 Twin Six 5-1 4th Super Add: #2 Depriciable 8-1 6th 8th: 64th Strub (G2), 4+, 9f (P3, DD, Super) As in the Arcadia with Mr. Commons, Tapizar will take some beating. Doubt anyone can run with him early and this strip will make him hard to reel in.. Most Likely: #7 Tapizar 6-5 4th Best Value: #4 Ultimate Eagle 9-2 WON ($17.00) Next Best: #2 Prayer for Relief 7-2 3rd Exotics Use: #8 Balladry 8-1 5th 9th: CLM-$25k, 4+, 6.5f-T (DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Crossing the Line 7-2 WON ($6.20) Best Value: #12 Wild Revenge 12-1 9th Next Best: #3 Mark the Bench 4-1 5th Exotics Use: #6 Loro 6-1 3rd 10th: OC-$40k/N1X, 4+, 8.5f (Super, Super Hi-5) Thumbs up to Hammer for carding a premium ALW like this to end great card. Setsuko back and Carla Gaines has an unexploded powderkeg in American Blend.. Most Likely: #10 American Blend 7-2 3rd Best Value: #9 Industry Leader 10-1 9th Next Best: #1 Setsuko 3-1 WON ($5.40) Exotics Use: #4 Graeme Crackerjack 9-2 4th <$200 P6 Play: 5: 1-2-7-10 6: 1-2-5-6 7: 1 8: 7 9: 2-3-12 10: 9-10 4x4x1x1x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-2-11-12 8: 2-4-7 9: 2-3-12 10: 1-4-9-10 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 02-04-2012 at 09:00 PM. 
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#3
02-04-2012, 10:46 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
02-04-2012, 12:03 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
02-04-2012, 02:42 PM
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From the NYRA stewards corner:
"RACE 5:Steward’s inquiry and jockey’s objection into the running of race 5. The # 7 Hook and Lateral ( Taylor Hole) claims foul against # 4 Digital Joe ( Samuel Camacho Jr.) for alleged interference at the 3/8th pole and also thru the last 1/16th of the stretch. At the 3/8th the # 7 takes up slightly due to mild pressure from the # 4 but has plenty of time to regroup, and through the last 1/16th in the stretch the # 4 drifts in on the # 7 tightening up on him. The # 7 never stops riding and is beaten by a head. After reviewing the video and in the opinion of the Stewards, this did not alter the outcome and the race is Official as is." What a croc of **** this is, what race were these Steward's watching? The 4 drifted into the 7's path clearly forcing the 7 to go inside instead of outside and when the 7 does so, the 4 herds the 7 forcing the 7 to cut off the 1 and clearly preventing the 7 from going by the 4. The conclusion that it did not affect the outcome of the race is outrageous.  I wonder if the stewards come to the same result if Dominguez is riding the 7 instead of Taylor Hole
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#8
02-04-2012, 03:05 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#9
02-04-2012, 03:34 PM
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Good Luck getting the pick 6 home here Steve!
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#10
02-04-2012, 04:18 PM
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Quote:
Lots of action yet to come! Going good at Santa Anita... Pletcher dead on board at Tampa...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#11
02-04-2012, 04:20 PM
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Quote:
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#12
02-04-2012, 04:22 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#13
02-04-2012, 04:29 PM
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 Would have been nice at a higher price, but I will take 9/2 just the same! Think I am going to roll that back into your pk6!
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#14
02-04-2012, 07:34 PM
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SA DBL C/O: $353k
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#15
02-04-2012, 08:07 PM
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Quote:
If Ass Hole stays wide in the stretch he wins and we aren't having this discussion. Going inside was about the 5th stupid thing he did in this race. Horrible ride. Go back to Suffolk.
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