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Old 12-09-2011, 09:30 AM
Clip-Clop Clip-Clop is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Manningtown, Colorado
Posts: 2,727
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
Why is that statement questionable to you?

Let's say your whole goal is to win $50 to pay for dinner and you have $350 to start with.

If you bet the Pass or Don't Pass -- you have a 49.3% chance of winning.

So -- Bet $50 - if you lose Bet $100 -- if you lose bet $200.

Your chances of losing 3 straight are just 13.03%

Your chances of winning without losing 3 straight are 86.97%.

So... 86.97% of the time you will achieve your goal of winning $50. 13% of the time... you will be exposed as an idiot.

Thus, you can win $50 87% and they still have an edge on you.
If you play max odds you do not need to do the increase at double rate, the payout odds will take care of the losses and the come pays take care of the craps.
My goal is to play, play and enjoy myself. Sometimes things go well but for the most part my goal is to leave with a few bucks and a few cocktails on the house (casinos have started getting proper beers from Colorado now). The way I play facilitates that, unless you go and try or have (but if you have you would not be questioning)it exactly as I do you should not question my success. I have not made myself rich by playing craps, but I have eaten fairly well in Vegas.
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