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#1
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![]() The BSF for THAS seems rather low given that he ran 1:33 and change on a track that was hardly blazing; he got a 105 for the PA Derby on a track that, while earlier in the card was not fast, did quicken up later on.
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#2
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![]() Steve, what did Blingo get Friday at HP, 3rd race?
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#3
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#4
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![]() Thanks.
How did that race comeback only an 81 while the Matriarch got a 95, with only a 2/5ths of a second difference in final times? |
#5
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Aside from that, what makes you think his win yesterday was substantially better than his effort in the PA Derby?
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB |
#6
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![]() Suddenly On Fire Baby looks particularly mediocre.
I watched most of Churchill yesterday and what I saw made it seem like the rail was very strong.
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB |
#7
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I agree also that he probably shouldn't be on the ballot for 3 year old of the year because he didn't run much of the year - the best part of his season was compressed into 2 months. That's fine - I expect him to be a very good older horse and just getting him back to even better than he was before was an accomplishment. |
#8
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#9
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![]() His trips are not flukish - he has speed and is tractable, so he often makes his trips. I guess we'll just have to wait and see what happens when he's looked in the eye at this point - I'm not going to bother speculating as there's really no point.
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#10
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The worry with this colt at the moment is distance. I thought he ran his race in the BC, stalking and pouncing, before ultimately wilting in the stretch. His PA Derby wasn't particularly pretty the final furlong either, switching leads and having his lead cut in half by Ruler On Ice when it looked like he'd win by a pole at the head of the lane. It'll be interesting to see if he's given a rest and comes back targeting the Met Mile or keeps on rolling through Gulfstream. The Donn early in the year seems logical, but there's no real place to go after that, unless he wants to blow his wad in Dubai. |
#11
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#12
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#13
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I would bet a lung he doesn't get wheeled back in three weeks, if he runs well in the Met. |
#14
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#15
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![]() To Honor and Serve was switching in leads in the PA Derby because he was reacting to the whip.
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@BDiDonatoTDN |
#16
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He also swapped back to his left lead in the BC Classic. Good point, though, about 10f not really mattering anymore. It's a shame the Suburban is only 9f and that the Pimlico Special is once again no more. Mott doesn't shy from shipping west, so the Big Cap and Hollywood Gold Cup are technically still on the table, however unlikely. |