Saturday 11/19 Play Along Thread

[RockHardTen1985]

Delta 5th...

Pick 3's

4/3,5,6,9/5,8 $2.50


4,6,7,8/3,5,6,9/5,8 $1.50


$68 total.
GL

[MaTH716]

Race 9 AQU
$5 ex 6/2,4,10 $15

$1 tri 6/2,4,10/2,4,8,9,10 $12
$1 tri 2,4,10/6/2,4,8,9,10 $12

[pointman]

Big A 9

$20W 9
$5EXB 8,9

[Alan07]

CD #9 $3 Double 3 / 6,9,12 $ 9.00
CD #9 $10 WP 3 $ 20.00
DED #6 $5 WP 9 $ 10.00

[MaTH716]

Going to get something to eat, so I'm putting this in now.

.50 late 4 Hollywood race 6
2,7,8,9
1,4
1,7
2,4,5,10
$32

[GPK]

I know this is after the fact and I had no dog in the fight, but I can't imagine Carlos Montalvo is getting a ton of quality mounts in NY. I have watched him enough through the past few years at TBD to know that he is more than capable on turf. Formulator stats show the sire wins with 13% of his turf starters.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by GPK

I know this is after the fact and I had no dog in the fight, but I can't imagine Carlos Montalvo is getting a ton of quality mounts in NY. I have watched him enough through the past few years at TBD to know that he is more than capable on turf. Formulator stats show the sire wins with 13% of his turf starters.

I can think of one other Disco Rico that won at a similar price first turf this year, but I never could've had that horse just because of that. I don't think the jockey is relevant either way, but if Montalvo's not getting good mounts in general in NY, why take him in this spot.

[GPK]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I can think of one other Disco Rico that won at a similar price first turf this year, but I never could've had that horse just because of that. I don't think the jockey is relevant either way, but if Montalvo's not getting good mounts in general in NY, why take him in this spot.

There was no good reason to have the horse. Had I played the race, the only way I catch him is with the all button. Admittedly, I have watched very few races from Aqueduct thus far. I will look through the PP's most days and have made a couple spot plays here and there, but that is about it. Montalvo may be riding like absolute sh*t so far this meet, I have no idea, but the mounts he has been getting have been far from "live". I was merely pointing out that I have seen him ride enough in the past to know that he is very capable on the grass. To be fair though, most of those rides have been at TBD where the jock colony isn't exactly 5 star.

[GPK]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I can think of one other Disco Rico that won at a similar price first turf this year, but I never could've had that horse just because of that. I don't think the jockey is relevant either way, but if Montalvo's not getting good mounts in general in NY, why take him in this spot.

Brian, this all got me thinking. I know his mounts have looked hopeless on paper, but I wanted to know just how bad they were. The PDF charts are available to last Saturday, so I went back and checked the odds of all his mounts the past week, starting with last Sat.

75.25-1
34.50-1
45.00-1
68.75-1
51.00-1
53.50-1
9.30-1 (5 horse field in the May Night Stakes)
123.25-1
75.25-1
24.50-1 (5 horse field in the Sunny and Mild Stakes)
51.50-1
36.25-1
54.75-1
53.00-1
85.75-1
37.50-1
66.25-1
52.25-1


Thanks for humoring me, I'm bored.

[jms62]

They really should bs ashamed of themselves at Delta. Wire to fuking wire race after race.

[herkhorse]

Delta 7th

6.00 ex box 3-8-10

1.00 pick 3 3-7-8-10/8/123

[jms62]

Dear Bob Baffert

You have **** going into 2012 Derby trail. Good Luck.