Invasor and Bernardini - Time Comparison

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

I find it interesting that even though Invasor and Bernardini haven't faced each other, all three of Invasor's American races this year were run at the same track and distance as a race Bernardini ran in. Here are the time comparisons:

Dist Track Invasor Bernardini
9f Saratoga 1:49.0 1:50.2
9.5f Pimlico 1:54.2 1:54.3
10f Belmont 2:01.1 2:01.0

Obviously the track at Saratoga was sloppy (although sealed) for the Jim Dandy so that probably accounts for the difference at 9 furlongs but otherwise they are dead even on raw time. The Beyer's all favored Bernardini but many of these races were single race variants so aren't very significant. I don't think there will be too much seperating Invasor and Bernardini other than their odds on BC Day. I'll be cashing my tickets on the Invincible Invasor.

Let's not forget that Bernardini will be carrying the same weight he carried in the JCGC and 4 lbs LESS than he carried in the Travers. Invasor will be carrying 6 and 8 lbs MORE than he carried in his last 2 races.

--Dunbar

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

Let's not forget that Bernardini will be carrying the same weight he carried in the JCGC and 4 lbs LESS than he carried in the Travers. Invasor will be carrying 6 and 8 lbs MORE than he carried in his last 2 races.

--Dunbar

Last time I paid too much attention to weight I convinced myself that Magnum was going to beat Lava Man in the Goodwood. We saw how that turned out. I'm not big on factoring weight in but it is a good point you brought up.

[ArlJim78]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

Last time I paid too much attention to weight I convinced myself that Magnum was going to beat Lava Man in the Goodwood. We saw how that turned out.

I made the same mistake.

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

I made the same mistake.

And so did I.

[brianwspencer]

magnum is a loser, so i didn't make the same mistake.

or at least he more or less has been since running what are now appearing to be two fluky races that are certainly the exception to his career.

Invasor will beat Bernardini. And I like Bernardini.