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#1
08-10-2011, 01:26 PM
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I thought the Singapore race was relatively paceless, Waikato hanging around to the end for third on the rail seemed to make it clear the front-runners were good to stay on, plus River Jetez caught a shuffle back going around the turn.
Most meaningful news of the week on River Jetez, other than the fact the asst. trainer is reporting her to be great, eating up, no worse for wear (visually confirmed by yours truly), is that DeKock, his wife, and daughter have all arrived in Chicago today and the owners were yesterday and on track today. This is nothing to take lightly, they are guns ablazing on this race. She will have a gallop on the turf tomorrow. DeKock wasn't even sniffing around Newmarket when she run in the Falmouth, which was so obviously a prep and short of her best trip. 
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#2
08-10-2011, 02:13 PM
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lol with what you said you are making me re think Stacelita as free cash, that 2nd to Presvis who finally broke through was just as good as any in here. lol i dont know what to do now..haha
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#3
08-10-2011, 08:22 PM
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I've gone through all three races and I'm against Cape Blanco, Stacelita and Treasure Beach.
Treasure Beach: In my opinion he needs more ground then 10 furlongs and he wants to be near the lead. The Arlington course has played well towards closers recently even into slow fractions and I fully expect him to get 'run off his feet' cause I don't see him being able to quicken. Cape Blanco: Somewhat of the same opinion in that I truly think he wants more ground and he has zero turn of foot. The Million Pace should be fast, certainly sub 50 with Proceed Bee going to be sent. I am far from a Gio fan, matter fact I tried every which way not to use him, but I really feel this race is gonna be a perfect set up for him at a distance that is as far as he can go. Stacelita: I think she is pace compromised in this race and I'm fully expecting River Jetez to be sitting 2nd/3rd and get first run. She was a great 3 year old and a good 4 year old but just think that she is gonna want longer distance and a cut in the ground and from all accounts it is gonna be firm on Saturday. As of right now, for me, the decision that I'll be sleeping on is how to attack the card, blunt force drama (River Jetez / Gio DD which would be paying about $24) or to play the multi-races around it these races.
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#4
08-10-2011, 09:33 PM
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If it rains, I'm 100% against Gio. I agree with you on that I need to figure how to structure around River Jetez.
From what I've seen over the last couple of days, they're calling for rain Friday, into Saturday.
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#5
08-10-2011, 09:55 PM
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I like River Jetez as well but I'm wondering why you think she's so much faster than Stacelita early. River Jetez ran really well in the Singapore International Cup but the pace in that race was glacial. The pace in the Dubai Duty Free was a bit stronger but the 3/4s was :14 and 4/5. She is hardly some kind of blazing speed horse.
Stacelita received an embarassingly bad ride in the UN last time. She has now been with Chad Brown for a month and is certainly going to have a bit more speed with an American training regimen. Her workout two back was not the type a horse who will be out-paced puts up. If Stacelita is beaten it will likely have more to do with her regressing in her 2nd start in America or River Jetez simply being better, but I don't know if I'd assume it will be because Stacelita is some plodder who will be outrun early.
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#6
08-11-2011, 07:49 AM
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#8
08-10-2011, 10:35 PM
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Look at the form and running styles of previous Million winners Debussy and Powerscourt. In Europe, both liked to sit up on or near the lead and tended to be one-paced in the latter stages, seemingly without significant "turn of foot". However, in the States, both horses settled off the early pace and made dramatic moves to finish strongly. I expect more of the same, at least from Treasure Beach. Jamie Spencer rode Powerscourt, so he ought to know his way around, but at the same time, he seems brain dead, so it wouldn't be a shock to see him botch the ride on Cape Blanco, with his past success on the lead. Settled off the pace, Cape Blanco would probably be more a terror in this field than he is now. Another point, whereas Treasure Beach may perhaps prefer 12f (he was handy enough to win at 7f twice as a 2yo though), what American hope really wants the 10f? Don't really see any in the Secretariat. In a cleanly run race, he probably only has the French horse to worry about.
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#9
08-13-2011, 06:43 PM
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#10
08-13-2011, 06:48 PM
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#11
08-13-2011, 07:56 PM
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The tri and super paid extremely well for fav 1 and 2..
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#12
08-13-2011, 09:16 PM
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Any word on L’Aiglon?
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#13
08-11-2011, 11:10 AM
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Couldn't be any easier here... Wigmore Hall and River Jetez. She needs to behave and go in the gate and that will be that, as they say. edit... Quote:
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#14
08-11-2011, 04:44 PM
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The Equus Awards are handed out tonight and MDK"s filly and champion, Igugu, is pretty much a shoo-in for Horse of the Year. It's not like there was nothing better to do had he stayed home...   (edit - She won). Last edited by my miss storm cat : 08-11-2011 at 07:04 PM.
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#15
08-12-2011, 08:41 AM
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FYI revised weather reports have changed locally and it seems likely the lawn will be less than firm. Showers after midnight tonight and showers/t-storms predicted tomorrow.
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#16
08-12-2011, 04:26 PM
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Hybrid Mode
