Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 06-27-2011, 07:58 PM
PatCummings PatCummings is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: DubaiRaceNight.com
Posts: 1,263
Default

To lend some perspective using the Trakus data, Tu Endie Wei traveled 3,377 feet in the five furlong race, breaking from post 13. The number of five furlong races with horses breaking from 12 and out are limited, but the average they've traveled is 3,359 feet. For all horses running five furlongs at Woodbine, the average traveled is 3,345 feet.

Tu Endie Wei's winning margin was 4.75 lengths, but if given the average trip, she probably wins by more than 8 lengths, and almost assuredly would've broken the course record with an inside trip. She traveled anywhere between 9 and 45 feet more than the rest of the field.

The second place horse, who closed from well back, is going to look good on paper coming back, but Tu Endie Wei traveled 31 feet more and still beat her well. I think the second place horse is the one to potentially bet against next out considering many people are probably going to think her late move was flashy.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 06-27-2011, 08:02 PM
Calzone Lord's Avatar
Calzone Lord Calzone Lord is offline
Super Moderator
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 4,552
Default

Is the rail good there, Pat?

I don't bet Woodbine - but I watch a lot of races on TV - and it seems like the wides do fine.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 06-27-2011, 08:28 PM
PatCummings PatCummings is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: DubaiRaceNight.com
Posts: 1,263
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
Is the rail good there, Pat?

I don't bet Woodbine - but I watch a lot of races on TV - and it seems like the wides do fine.
From a pure post position standpoint, there aren't any overwhelming post biases for sprinting wins.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:40 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.