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  #1  
Old 10-23-2006, 12:23 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Steve Haskin's column today also assumes that Premium Tap is going to the Classic:

http://www.ntra.com/content.aspx?type=news&id=21030

Haskin likes Premium Tap as a live longshot. Me, too, which is why I'm trying to confirm that he's entering.

--Dunbar
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  #2  
Old 10-23-2006, 12:58 PM
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slotdirt slotdirt is offline
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I love that stat on Jockey Club Gold Cup winners and the Classic. I mentioned that last year and was laughed at on ESPN. Obviously Bernardini and Borrego are different animals, but still, Borrego's last prep looked even more effortless against a far superior field last year than Bernardini did this year. Just throwing that out there.
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  #3  
Old 10-23-2006, 01:44 PM
1st_Saturday_in_May 1st_Saturday_in_May is offline
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Prado gets the mount...interesting
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  #4  
Old 10-23-2006, 01:49 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Premium Tap has a chance in the Classic?

Not likely. Haven't seen the field but it's hard to think off-hand of any horse with less of a chance. Hell, if Ouiji Board ran she would have a better chance of winning. Not that she rates to finish ahead of him but at least she's an unknown quantity. Premium Tap has ZERO chance.
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  #5  
Old 10-23-2006, 02:12 PM
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pmayjr pmayjr is offline
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Look, whteher it was Desormeaux's fault or not, Premium Tap had a big closing kick (against a weak field I know...), so I'd try him oin the Clasic. It's not out of the question that he could run with these guys. I'd take Desormeaux off of him for sho though! But I hope he runs in the Classic. He'll be coming late.
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  #6  
Old 10-23-2006, 02:26 PM
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Well there's another horse I can throwout.
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  #7  
Old 10-23-2006, 02:34 PM
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I have seen quotes from Kimmel stating that he does not wish to face Bernardini. What changed? Bernardini still seems like Bernardini. Perhaps Kimmel now realizes the money to be made coming second through ?
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  #8  
Old 10-23-2006, 02:33 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Premium Tap has ZERO chance.
That's about as silly as someone saying Pegasus Wind had no chance in the Champagne.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #9  
Old 10-23-2006, 05:14 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar
That's about as silly as someone saying Pegasus Wind had no chance in the Champagne.

--Dunbar
No, my comments are being made before the race. He is too slow, he is distance challenged, and he is pretty much a need the lead type. Nothing about him suits this race.

He has ZERO chance and is the kind of horse people only pick on the internet and don't back with their wallets. He will be 40-1 or more and should be every bit of that.
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  #10  
Old 10-23-2006, 05:41 PM
bellsbendboy
 
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My understanding is that Prado was aboard for the work and he looked exceptional. He will be a big price and would need a ton of luck, but he is not without a chance, given that many in the classic appear to be over the top. BBB
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  #11  
Old 10-23-2006, 05:53 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
No, my comments are being made before the race. He is too slow, he is distance challenged, and he is pretty much a need the lead type. Nothing about him suits this race.

He has ZERO chance and is the kind of horse people only pick on the internet and don't back with their wallets. He will be 40-1 or more and should be every bit of that.
The only sentence I agree with is the first. I'm not sure about the last.

One thing I am certain of is that he has more than a "zero" chance. If you don't understand that, then you are not as sharp as I thought you were.

I can assure you I will be backing him with my wallet if I see 40-1. I think he has better than a 2.5% chance to win. I'd also take 10-1 that he finishes in front of Bernardini and 4-1 that he finishes in front of any other individual horse in the race. Those are numbers I'm SURE I'd take. I may be willing to go much lower in the matchups.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #12  
Old 10-23-2006, 01:47 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar
Steve Haskin's column today also assumes that Premium Tap is going to the Classic:

http://www.ntra.com/content.aspx?type=news&id=21030

Haskin likes Premium Tap as a live longshot. Me, too, which is why I'm trying to confirm that he's entering.
Also according to Haskin, Prado is scheduled to ride Premium Tap.

I still don't understand why Premium Tap doesn't show up as 'nominated' if he is indeed going to enter. Invasor shows up now that he was a late nomination. So does Bordonaro.

It's going to cost a whole bunch more to run him supplemented than if they'd nominate him.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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