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#1
05-19-2011, 12:38 PM
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Sway Away
Just wanted to get everyone's .02 on this. i remember very vividly watching the Ark Derby thinking that this horse had the race wonat the top of the stretch and just ran out of gas. In further review i thought that maybe the jock moved just a touch too early and horse ran out of gas but too my eyes it was the best "move" i had seen so far up to and including AK in the Vinery(no i did not win on AK in the Derby). My question is do most on here view this horse as a late running sprinter or a horse that truly has some "push button" quality and can make some noise on Saturday. I was thinking that between 9-1 and 12-1 would be fair odds enough to bet. I just wanted some other opinions in that maybe i am making too much of the Ark Derby effort.
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#2
05-19-2011, 12:54 PM
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Quote:
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#3
05-19-2011, 01:13 PM
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I can't bet a horse, in a classic race, that has never won around 2 turns. I may regret these words....can't do it.
__________________
"I guess it comes down to a simple choice, really. Get busy livin' or get busy dyin'."
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#4
05-19-2011, 02:17 PM
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I agree he made a good move, but P-Val should have known that the Factor was already cooked at that point of the race, and didn't need to make that premature move to engage him.
A better ride moves him up in this race, I'm just not sure if it's good enough to win.
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#5
05-19-2011, 03:07 PM
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He's interesting. What do you all think he will go off at? maybe in the 8-1 to 12-1 range? I think he is definitely an exotics horse for sure.
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#6
05-19-2011, 03:13 PM
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Sorry, I didn't see the last part of your post. Yeah, I'm expecting that range of odds. I don't like him as my top horse, but I do like him in my 2nd, 3rd and 4th spots and If I were to play a double/pick 3/pick 4, I would include him.
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#7
05-20-2011, 07:48 PM
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SW was always at least 3 paths wider that DC every step of the way.
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#8
05-21-2011, 09:17 AM
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A friend of mine told me there was a correction on the sheet to 3w4w, which still understates his first turn. Not to mention the middle move
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#9
05-21-2011, 09:55 AM
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I feel like he's a closing sprinter, and if this race were run 100 times, a big chunk of them he puts in a middle move and flattens out again. But, I guess I'm second-guessing myself enough to use him a bit.
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#10
05-21-2011, 02:05 PM
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I've never been a big fan of Sway Away, but after watching the Arkansas Derby again, I think he ran a better race than Dance City. I'm willing to give him another route race before I dismiss him as a closing sprinter. I'm playing him to win at 10-1 or higher.
__________________
Still trying to outsmart me, aren't you, mule-skinner? You want me to think that you don't want me to go down there, but the subtle truth is you really don't want me to go down there!
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