Updated Derby Chances - Prep Recap

[bare it all]

http://www.lookatmyhorsemyhorseisamazing.com/

Good luck everyone!

[Indian Charlie]

Originally Posted by bare it all

http://www.lookatmyhorsemyhorseisamazing.com/

Good luck everyone!

That chick is hot!

[Clip-Clop]

Originally Posted by bare it all

http://www.lookatmyhorsemyhorseisamazing.com/

Good luck everyone!

That is special.

[paulo537]

[quote=paulo537;769565]You can get Mo at 6/1 or more offshore. Good luck with that. I make it 3/1 against him making the Derby.

QUOTE]

Questions, comments, remarks?

[paulo537]

Originally Posted by herkhorse

I'll take that bet.

How much did you wager?

[paulo537]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

He's talking out of his ass.

Right.

[paulo537]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

Really? I'd make a humongous bet at even money that Dialed In will run. Your statement is ridiculous unless you have some inside knowledge about Dialed In's condition, which I doubt.


--Dunbar

Yes, really. He is indeed running.

[paulo537]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

Updated Chances of winning:


Uncle Mo (19.25%)
Dialed In (16.25%)
Archarcharch (8.25%)
Nehro (8%)
Midnight Interlude (8%)
The Factor (6.50%)
Mucho Macho Man (6.25%)
Toby's Corner (4.50%)
Silver Medallion (4%)
Soldat (3.5%)
Sheckleford (3.25%)
Jaycito (2.25%)
Pants on Fire (1.80%)
Brilliant Speed (1.25%)
Santiva (1%)
Decisive Moment (1%)
Animal Kingdom (1%)
Stay Thirsty (0.50%)
Twice the Appeal (0.25%)
Sway Away (0.25%)
Joe Vann (0.25%)
Bretheren (0.25%)
Watch Me Go (0.05%)


The Rest: 2.45%

Would this make fair odds on Dialed In about 4/1?

Good luck Drugs, wherever you are.

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by paulo537

Right.

So....in this thread DrugS gave Uncle Mo around a 20% chance to win the race.
And you said there was a 50% chance that Dialed In wouldn't even run in the race.

And now you are being smug and talking shit?

Unless something changes with Dialed In in the next 24 hours, I don't see where your statements in this thread justify the smug attitude you've assumed here.

[DaTruth]

Originally Posted by miraja2

So....in this thread DrugS gave Uncle Mo around a 20% chance to win the race.
And you said there was a 50% chance that Dialed In wouldn't even run in the race.

And now you are being smug and talking shit?

Unless something changes with Dialed In in the next 24 hours, I don't see where your statements in this thread justify the smug attitude you've assumed here.

I think Dunbar was the one who said Dialed In wasn't running.

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by DaTruth

I think Dunbar was the one who said Dialed In wasn't running.

Nope, that was paulo. (post 19)
Dunbar (correctly) told him he was being ridiculous.

[DaTruth]

Originally Posted by miraja2

Nope, that was paulo. (post 19)
Dunbar (correctly) told him he was being ridiculous.

I see that you're right. I was too lazy to read through the entire thread again.